Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 241241
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Lost Valley...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
741 AM CDT Wed May 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A mix of sun and clouds today, but any precipitation should be well
southeast of your area. A persistent northeast wind today, will
become more east/east-northeast by late in the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........46 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................93 percent at ignition...Min 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 5 to 6
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1600-3500
                    ft AGL increasing to 4800-6100 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing winds........Northeast 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /54400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............46  49  53  55  58  60  61  61  62  62  62
RH..............93  86  77  74  67  62  62  62  60  62  62
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10      10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.9 2.2 3.5 4.8 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8
Mixing wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Mixing wind spd.14  14  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100020  22  24  36  46  54  50  46  43  41  39

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......3700-5500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-2000 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing winds........Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1000-35500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............62     58     53     51     49     46
RH..............62     69     80     86     89     100
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 3   E 2    E 3    E 3    SE 3
20 ft wind gust.       5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5500   2000   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..E 7    E 5    E 5    E 7    E 7    SE 7
Mixing wind.....E 7    E 5    E 5    E 7    E 7    SE 7
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100036     9      1      2      2      1

$$
Forecaster...TAGGART
Requested by...Russ Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1709998.0/MPX
.EMAIL russell.smith@state.mn.us



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