Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
677
FNUS73 KMPX 231249
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EREAUX SOUTH WOODS...NRRI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
749 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE
MORNING AND INCREASE IN SPEED.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL COME THIS
AFTERNOON.  FOR IGNITION TIME...STILL EXPECT WINDS SE 5-10 MPH.
AS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RISE THROUGH THE MORNING...DEW POINTS
WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE THANKS TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW...WHICH WILL KEEP
THE RH FROM GETTING TOO LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2500-43100) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (54200-88300) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 22
                    TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36     47     56     63     67     68
RH..............75     56     51     48     45     45
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 6   SE 7   SE 9   SE 10  SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42600-90900) DECREASING TO
                    FAIR TO GOOD (22500-35900) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22300-51300).

$$
FORECASTER...DEVINNY
REQUESTED BY...DAVE PAULY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160423.EREAU.01/MPX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.