Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 171318
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Svor Piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
718 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........5 at ignition...Max 32.
RH..................76 percent at ignition...Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 300-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 21 mph.
Mixing winds........West 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /10900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Temp............5   12  16  21  26  31  32  30  27
RH..............76  70  67  62  57  53  51  55  60
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   8   9   10  11  12  12  12  11
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  18  18  20  20  21  21
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.16  16  17  18  18  20  20  21  21
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   4   4   4   4   4   8   11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 17.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 21 mph decreasing to 10 to 13 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing winds........West 12 to 21 mph decreasing to 10 to 13 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2300-14000 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Temp............24     20     18     17     17     17
RH..............65     74     80     80     80     84
20 ft wind......W 10   W 9    W 7    W 6    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....800    400    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 21   W 16   W 13   W 10   W 10   W 12
Mixing wind.....W 21   W 16   W 13   W 10   W 10   W 12
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100014     6      3      2      2      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 36.
RH..................Min 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing winds........Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Temp............18     19     24     33     36     34
RH..............84     80     77     69     69     72
20 ft wind......W 6    W 5    W 5    W 6    W 5    W 5
20 ft wind gust.10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 14   W 12   W 12   W 14   W 13   W 10
Mixing wind.....W 14   W 12   W 12   W 14   W 13   W 10
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/10003      3      3      3      3      2

$$
Forecaster...WFO MPX
Requested by...Phil Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800489.0/MPX
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov


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