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FNUS73 KMPX 231749
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for SMSC Rx Burn...Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1249 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the SMSC Rx Burn, skies will be sunny to mostly
sunny the entire day with no precipitation expected until Thursday
morning. Relative humidities will be near 70 percent Wednesday
morning before dropping into the upper 20 percent range Wednesday
afternoon. Winds will generally be southeasterly at 5-10 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 58.
RH..................42 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 7
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /18000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /29400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  50  53  56  56  57  57  58  54  50  48  47
RH..............42  41  36  32  34  31  30  30  34  39  42  43
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.4 3.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   10  12
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Min 42.
RH..................Max 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (102900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (86300
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Rachel Crownhart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412012.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rachel.crownhart@shakopeedakota.org