Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 181337
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Muse WMA - brush piles...TPWD
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
837 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 18.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will push across the area by 3-4 PM this afternoon
resulting in a sharp wind shift out of the north. Ahead of the
front temperatures will climb into the lower to mid 90s. Winds
ahead of the front will be out of the west-southwest at 10-15 mph
and then turn out of the north at 15-20 mph behind the front.
Minimum RH values will remain near or above 40 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1600, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    north around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....Southwest 12 to 20 mph shifting to the north
                   around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (53400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).............57     57     8      3      12
Weather cov.........                            CHANCE
Weather type........None   None   None   None   RnShwr
Tstm cov............                            CHANCE
LAL.................1      1      3      3      4
Temp................70     77     87     89     88
RH..................97     81     57     48     43
20 FT wind dir......SW     SW     SW     SW     N
20 FT wind spd......15     14     11     10     12
20 FT wind gust.....18     17     14     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)........1400   2000   3400   6200   3900
Transport wind......SW 20  SW 18  SW 15  SW 12  N 14
Haines index........5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 1900, then 9-15 strikes
                    until 2200, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 13 to 14 mph.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....Northeast 16 to 22 mph.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (19700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).............25     29     35     33     57     57
Weather cov.........CHANCE S CHC
Weather type........RnShwr RnShwr None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............CHANCE S CHC
LAL.................4      3      1      1      1      1
Temp................86     75     69     64     62     59
RH..................44     62     71     78     78     80
20 FT wind dir......NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......12     12     12     12     12     13
20 FT wind gust.....18     19     18     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)........3400   500    500    1200   1000   1200
Transport wind......NE 17  NE 21  NE 18  NE 18  NE 18  NE 16
Haines index........5      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (24800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............57     58     59     71     64     66
Weather cov.........
Weather type........None   None   None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp................57     56     58     62     64     66
RH..................83     83     83     78     74     73
20 FT wind dir......NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......12     14     12     11     11     10
20 FT wind gust.....15     15     15     14     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)........1500   1400   1600   1900   2200   2600
Transport wind......NE 17  NE 16  N 15   NE 13  NE 13  NE 12
Haines index........4      3      3      3      2      2

$$
Forecaster...WILEY
Requested by...Wesley Evans
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411319.0/SJT
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.evans@tpwd.texas.gov


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