Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KTAE 251431
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1031 AM EDT Sat May 25 2013
.NEAR TERM [Today]...
After a crisp cool start across the region this morning expect
temperatures to warm into the mid to upper 80s under mostly sunny
skies. High pressure over the Southern Appalachians will allow for
dry northeasterly flow today. Though it will be warm, afternoon
humidities will be noticeably low for late May.
.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Monday Night]...
Surface High pressure and a very dry airmass will remain over the
local region. A backdoor cold front will push down through the
Carolina`s and into north Georgia Sunday and Sunday night before
stalling. High temperatures Sunday will be in the mid to upper 80s
which is normal. Low temperatures tonight will generally be in the
low to middle 50s inland areas and lower to middle 60s along the
coast. Min temps begin to moderate Sunday night with lower to mid
60s for our western zones and mid to upper 50s east.
.LONG TERM [Tuesday through Friday]...
An upper ridge is forecast to dominate the the southeastern states
through much of next week. This will keep the weather mostly dry
with temperatures at or a little above normal. Guidance suggest
some tropical moisture could move north in to the region very late
in the week or next weekend. However, there is considerable
uncertainty as to the timing of this moisture, so will not include
any PoPs in the forecast at this time.
.AVIATION [Through 12 UTC Sunday]...
VFR conditions will prevail through the period.
Exercise caution conditions will continue over the offshore waters
into the early afternoon. Otherwise, light to moderate easterly
flow will persist into the middle of next week.
Although it won`t be as breezy today, it will be drier with at least
6 to 8 hours of RH below 28% and ERC values greater than 37 across
portions of the FL Panhandle as well as Leon and Wakulla Counties
in the Big Bend. So a red flag warning remains in effect for these
counties in the Florida Big Bend and Panhandle. The airmass will
begin to gradually moisten up across the Panhandle on Sunday but
remain very dry across the Big Bend . ERC values will remain high in
these same areas. A Fire weather watch is now in effect for Sunday
aftn for Leon and Wakulla counties. The airmass will moisten up a
little more on Monday and Red Flag conditions are not anticipated
thru at least the middle of the upcoming work week.
No hydrologic concerns are foreseen through next week.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 88 54 88 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
Panama City 85 64 87 66 86 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dothan 88 59 88 63 90 / 0 0 0 0 0
Albany 86 55 88 59 91 / 0 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 87 52 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cross City 88 54 89 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 84 63 81 67 85 / 0 0 0 0 0
FL...RED FLAG WARNING from 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ this afternoon to 8
PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for Central Walton-Coastal
Bay-Coastal Wakulla-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Wakulla-
Inland Walton-Leon-South Walton-Washington.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Sunday afternoon through Sunday
evening for Coastal Wakulla-Inland Wakulla-Leon.