Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 242337 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
537 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.AVIATION...
25/00Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected through the forecast period.
Northerly winds will decrease this evening and transition to
southerly toward and after 18z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
It has been a while since we have seen freezing temperatures in
some of the forecast area, but we will see one tonight across most
of the area. It is still well within freeze season, so we will not
issue any headlines. But since it has been a while and it has felt
spring-like recently, will try to emphasize the freeze in
graphicasts, etc.

The seasonable high temperatures will continue tomorrow before
edging back toward springlike temperatures early next week. The
next front looks to move through late Tuesday early Wednesday
knocking down temperatures and starting the cycle again. The
medium range models are in better agreement about the temperature
trends Monday and Tuesday which does lead to higher confidence in
our expectations.

As far as the overall pattern and precipitation chances, moisture
begins to return late Saturday and Sunday after the surface ridge
moves to the east. There will be low chances of precipitation as
the moisture returns and ahead of a shortwave that will approach
late Sunday/Monday. The highest chances will be in the eastern
part of the area given the moisture trajectory. Moisture doesn`t
go very far and low precipitation chances return on
Tuesday/Wednesday with another weak wave. Neither system looks
like it will bring widespread rain though. Instability remains
marginal, but enough elevated instability develops over the south
Sunday evening for the mention of thunder on Sunday night and
Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  26  48  34  61 /   0   0   0  10
Hobart OK         25  48  33  63 /   0   0   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  29  50  37  68 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           19  48  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     22  47  30  57 /   0   0   0  10
Durant OK         31  51  35  63 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/11


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