Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 252051
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
351 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Just east of the thicker cloud shield over western Oklahoma and
north Texas, weak instability has developed where temperatures
have warmed into the lower/mid 80s. Scattered showers and storms
have formed recently over north central Oklahoma and more
development is possible to the south and west. Brief heavy rain
and strong wind gusts will be possible with some of the storms
through late afternoon.

Rain with embedded thunderstorms will continue to develop this
evneing and perhaps overnight. Similar to today, most of the rain
will be light to moderate, but locally heavy amounts will be
possible.

As a cold front moves across Oklahoma and western north Texas
tonight into Tuesday, the axis of better rain chances will
gradually shift to the south and east. Areas of heavy rain will be
possible Tuesday into Tuesday night, especially across southwest
Oklahoma and western north Texas. A Flash Flood Watch will be
issued for a small part of western north Texas where higher
rainfall totals are expected through Wednesday.

Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night, the areal coverage of
precipitation may decrease some, but another disturbance within
southwest flow aloft should bring another period of showers
and storms on Wednesday.

Shortwave ridging Thursday into Friday is expected to bring a
period of mainly dry weather. Some showers and storms will be
possible across western Oklahoma and north Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  67  72  61  68 /  50  80  60  70
Hobart OK         64  68  59  65 /  80  80  80  80
Wichita Falls TX  68  77  63  72 /  60  70  70  70
Gage OK           55  64  54  63 /  70  60  40  60
Ponca City OK     65  71  60  69 /  70  80  40  40
Durant OK         68  88  67  83 /  10  20  40  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Wednesday evening
     for TXZ083>085-087-088.

&&

$$



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