Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 291150
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
650 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The 12Z aviation discussion follows....

&&

.AVIATION...
An upper-level low over west Texas, and its surface counterpart
centered over Oklahoma this morning, will bring a variety of
weather to Oklahoma and north Texas today and this evening.
Ceiling heights are highly chaotic over central and south-
central/southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas, while the
remainder of Oklahoma is under low ceilings. Showers over the
Texas Panhandle and far western Oklahoma this morning are
associated with the upper low, and will probably shift slowly
north or northeast with time. Winds will also be rather chaotic
early this morning until some of the pressure perturbations from
overnight convection settle out. By late afternoon and evening,
we expect a large coil of low clouds across most of Oklahoma,
except the far southwest (and adjacent parts of Texas), and
gradually diminishing showers in the north. Brisk northwest winds
should prevent fog tonight.

Overall, this is a very low-confidence forecast because of the
jagged nature of most of the weather elements, however the "coil
of low clouds" mentioned above is higher confidence, although the
exact ceiling height is less-well established.

CmS
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  65  44  61  43 /  60  30  10   0
Hobart OK         58  43  65  42 /  50  30  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  67  45  69  46 /  30  20  10   0
Gage OK           49  39  63  39 /  80  40  10   0
Ponca City OK     66  44  55  40 /  80  50  40  10
Durant OK         78  48  65  47 /  60  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23/23



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