Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
213
AXUS74 KSHV 100500
DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1100 PM CST THU NOV 9 2017

...VERY DRY CONDITIONS SINCE LATE AUGUST HAS RESULTED IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS, EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

SYNOPSIS...

AFTER OBSERVING EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX DURING MUCH
OF AUGUST, COURTESY OF A FEW STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY, VERY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE MATERIALIZED DURING
SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, RESULTING IN FLASH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA. IN FACT, RECORD TO NEAR
RECORD DRY CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED DURING SEPTEMBER ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
AREA, AS LITTLE IF ANY RAIN FELL OVER THESE AREAS DURING THE MONTH. OCTOBER
DID SEE SOME RAIN, RANGING FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES AREAWIDE WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS, BUT TWO MONTH RAINFALL DEPARTURE FROM
NORMAL DEFICITS RANGED FROM FOUR TO NEAR EIGHT INCHES AREAWIDE. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THAT WERE OBSERVED DURING OCTOBER ONLY HELPED TO EXASPERATE THE
DEVELOPING DRY CONDITIONS, WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AS FARMERS/RANCHERS ARE BEHIND IN PLANTING THEIR WINTER
PASTURE AND WHEAT CROPS, AND SOME OF THEIR STOCK WATER TANKS HAVE DRIED UP OR
BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. IN ADDITION, MANY TREES BEGAN TO SHED THEIR LEAVES
EARLY, WITH EVEN SOME SHALLOW ROOTED TREES HAVING DIED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. GIVEN THESE IMPACTS, AND THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINS,
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SOUTHERN BOWIE, MUCH OF
CASS, AND EASTERN MARION COUNTY TEXAS, AS WELL AS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS,
AND NORTHERN CADDO, BOSSIER, WEBSTER, AND CLAIBORNE PARISHES IN NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA. SURROUNDING THIS AREA, MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1) HAVE
DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20, AS WELL AS
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND RUSTON. FARTHER SOUTH, ABNORMALLY DRY
CONDITIONS (D0) EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL SINCE LATE AUGUST HAS RESULTED IN TOPSOIL
MOISTURE DEFICITS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION,
FARMERS IN NORTHEAST TEXAS HAVE REPORTED THAT STOCK WATER TANKS WERE SHOWING
SIGNS OF DROUGHT STRESS OR HAVE DRIED UP ALL-TOGETHER. PRODUCERS ARE WAITING
FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEFORE PLANTING THEIR WINTER PASTURE AND WHEAT CROPS,
WITH SOME PRODUCERS THAT HAVE ALREADY PLANTED POSSIBLY LOSING THEIR CROPS DUE
TO THE LACK OF WATER.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS. ELSEWHERE, NO
BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LOW TO MODERATE THROUGH MUCH OF NOVEMBER.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY DURING OCTOBER, COUPLED WITH
MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL, HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AREAWIDE DURING SEPTEMBER AND
OCTOBER. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, AND DRIEST SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER
RANKS, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER       PERCENTAGE   DRIEST RANK
                 RAINFALL/(DEP. FROM NORM)    OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA          1.13 (-6.99)             14%           6TH

MONROE LA              1.71 (-6.70)             20%          10TH

NATCHITOCHES LA        1.22 (-7.20)             14%           3RD

TEXARKANA AR           2.76 (-5.60)             33%          ----

EL DORADO AR           2.26 (-6.04)             27%         T11TH

HOPE 3NE AR            1.37 (-7.71)             15%           3RD

DEQUEEN AR             1.70 (-6.43)             21%           2ND

MT. PLEASANT TX        2.20 (-5.92)             27%           9TH

TYLER TX               1.83 (-6.36)             22%           N/A
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX               2.08 (-5.88)             26%           N/A
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX            2.08 (-5.84)             26%          15TH

MARSHALL TX            1.84 (-6.41)             22%          10TH

LUFKIN TX              5.57 (-3.34)             63%          ----

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             3.66 (-5.89)             38%
BROKEN BOW             2.65 (-6.90)             28%
IDABEL                 2.02 (-7.44)             21%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK,
BEFORE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS THROUGH MID AND LATE WEEK. A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY,
WHICH MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. HOWEVER, RAINFALL AMOUNTS IF ANY WILL BE LIGHT. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BY LATE
NEXT WEEK, WITH THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING ABOUT
A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS BACK INTO THE REGION.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER-
DECEMBER-JANUARY, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION AREAWIDE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LA NINA THAT HAS
DEVELOPED IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WINTER.
THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WINTER MONTHS,
AND POSSIBLY EXPAND IN AREA WITH TIME.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS HAVE FALLEN ONE TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
STAGE. LITTLE CHANGE TO ADDITIONAL SLOW FALLS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF
NOVEMBER AS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN EARLY/MID-DECEMBER.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.