Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FGUS71 KRLX 191944

Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
244 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

...The flood potential is expected to be above normal during the
next two weeks...

The flood potential for the next two weeks will be considered
above normal for the streams in the Charleston Hydrologic Service
Area (HSA). An above normal flood potential means flooding could
occur with water levels having significant impacts.

Flood Outlooks are issued biweekly by the National Weather
Service in the winter and early spring to summarize basin hydro
meteorological conditions and to assess the potential for spring
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and expected
conditions...realizing that actual conditions may change during
the outlook period.

Factors to consider when assessing flood potential are:

Water content of the snowpack...the wetness of the
soils...widespread heavy rainfall...high streamflows...and
reservoir levels and ice coverage on the rivers.

Precipitation was slightly below normal for the past 30 days over
much of the HSA.

Soil Conditions...
Soils are frozen to moist. This can cause efficient runoff from
any future rain.

Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent...
An average of 1 to 3 covered much of the area, with 2 to 4 in the
higher elevations. Snow water equivalents ranged from 0.1 to 0.3

Reservoirs Capacity...
Reservoir levels are normal for this time of year.

River Ice Conditions...
Ice was noted on most small streams and creeks and on headwater
rivers. Significant ice jams were noted on the Muskingum river in
Southeast Ohio. These jams have the potential to cause ice jam
flooding through this weekend (1/20-1/21) and into early next week
(1/22-1/23). Significant ice flows were noted on the Ohio river
as well.

River Flows...
River flows on all rivers are expected to be normal through the
the next 2 weeks.

The Hydrologic Outlook through the next two weeks...
An active weather pattern is expected to continue over the next
week or two with systems quickly moving through the area.
Temperatures are expected ride the roller coaster and average
near normal or slightly above normal through the 23rd and then
normal to below normal after that.

Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Eastern Kentucky...Southeast Ohio...Buchanan
and Dickenson counties in Southwest Virginia and much of West
Virginia can be found at:


or at

and click on the 90-day river outlook on the left hand side of
the page. Click on FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL to view the risk of
flooding with respect to normal.

Rainfall is the primary factor leading to flooding. Heavy or
excessive rainfall can cause flooding any time of the year even
where the flood potential is below normal.


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