Extended Streamflow Prediction
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000
FGUS65 KSTR 011956
ESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
July 01, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

July final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul    44.0    46.0    48.0        5.2    16.4    20.0


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul    49.0    52.0    55.0        5.6    14.3    26.0


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul     4.3     4.4     4.8        0.7     2.1     1.4
       Jul     0.1     0.2     0.4
       Aug     0.1     0.2     0.4
       Sep     0.0     0.2     0.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul   178.0   185.0   198.0       18.5    43.0    96.0
       Jul    20.0    27.0    40.0
       Aug    10.0    17.0    30.0
       Sep    10.0    15.0    27.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul   580.0   600.0   635.0       80.0   179.0   285.0
       Jul    35.0    55.0    90.0
       Aug    10.0    33.0    56.0
       Sep     9.0    31.0    65.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul   415.0   425.0   445.0       34.0    91.0   237.0
       Jul    53.0    63.0    83.0
       Aug    20.0    33.0    50.0
       Sep    15.0    27.0    45.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May     Jun
   Apr-Jul    50.0    52.0    55.0        4.8    10.0    31.0
       Jul     4.0     6.2     9.0
       Aug     2.0     3.8     7.0
       Sep     0.5     2.0     5.0



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