Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 300139
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0430Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T2230Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 14.5  MON 09 PM  14.6   14.2   13.0   11.7   10.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-301439-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN
BEGIN
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.0  MON 09 PM   9.2    9.4    9.3    9.0    8.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141004T2100Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141004T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.5  MON 09 PM  15.4   14.9   14.4   13.8   13.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141002T2100Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141002T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 13.2  MON 09 PM  12.6   11.4   11.1   10.0    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.141001T0300Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP
25 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11 11.2  MON 09 PM  11.4   10.6    9.7    8.4    7.0


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC027-301439-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0146Z.141003T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR
  12.6 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN
  HOMES.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 10.9  MON 08 PM  11.4   12.0   12.4   12.5   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141005T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T1800Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.0  MON 08 PM  13.0   12.8   12.6   12.3   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$



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