Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300833
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will move slowly northward across the region
through this morning and produce showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Much warmer air will reach the Southern Tier
this afternoon, and the entire region Monday. A cold front will
then sweep east across the area late Monday and Monday night
with another round of showers and thunderstorms. Much cooler and
unsettled weather will then set in for Tuesday through the end
of next week.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302100-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
433 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     50           40           90
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       64           49           81
AM Wind (mph)                    E 12                      S  6
PM Wind (mph)                    E 11         E  6         S  8
Precip amount                    0.12         0.08         0.33
Precip duration                     2            2            4
Precip begin                     6 AM         7 PM         1 PM
Precip end                       2 PM         5 AM   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               50           99           57
Haines Index                        2            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           1930           40         4370
Transport wind (kt)              E 20         S  7         S 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               38600          280        83030
Dispersion Index                   39            0           83
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302100-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
433 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           30           90
Precip type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       76           59           79
AM Wind (mph)                   SE  8                      S 12
PM Wind (mph)                    S  9         S 10         S 13
Precip amount                    0.08         0.02         0.42
Precip duration                     2            1            5
Precip begin                     6 AM   Continuing        12 PM
Precip end                 Continuing         8 PM   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               45           95           53
Haines Index                        2            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           3280          140         6030
Transport wind (kt)              S 12        SE 14         S 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               39360         1960       162810
Dispersion Index                   39            2          163
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302100-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
433 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40            0           50
Precip type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Max/Min Temp                       70           55           85
AM Wind (mph)                    E  7                      S  8
PM Wind (mph)                    E  9        SE  9         S 11
Precip amount                    0.13         0.00         0.06
Precip duration                     2                         2
Precip begin                     7 AM                      3 PM
Precip end                       2 PM                Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               46           96           51
Haines Index                        2            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           2180          140         4230
Transport wind (kt)             SE 12         S 15         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               26160         2100        71910
Dispersion Index                   26            2           72
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-302100-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
433 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     60           50           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Max/Min Temp                       56           49           80
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  7
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6        SE  9         S  9
Precip amount                    0.15         0.20         0.03
Precip duration                     3            2            1
Precip begin                     9 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               42           98           53
Haines Index                        3            2            2
LAL                                 4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           2310          240         2810
Transport wind (kt)              E  8        SE 10         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               18480         2400        33720
Dispersion Index                   18            2           34
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs around 50.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...South around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 15 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 15 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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