Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 201934
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A ridge of high pressure will push maintain fair
and very mild weather into Tuesday.

A weak cold front will push into the far northwest part of
the state late Tuesday, before crossing the rest of the region
Tuesday night and early Wednesday, accompanied by one or two
brief periods of showers.

For the latter part of the upcoming week, unseasonably mild
air will continue to push into the region from the southwest,
as a wavering and nearly stationary frontal boundary stays just
to our north.

Strengthening low pressure will move northeast across the
Upper Great Lakes late Friday into early Saturday. The cold
front trailing south from this low will bring a period of rain
during the day Saturday, which will last a few to several hours.
Gusty west wind of 35 to 45 mph will likely develop in the wake
of the front.

PAZ004>006-010-011-210915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           70           10
Temp (24h trend)               28 (0)      54 (+5)           38           60
RH % (24h trend)             79 (-21)     50 (+17)          100           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          S  8                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  8        SW  6        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.08         0.01
Precip Duration                                               9
Precip Begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing         7 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            330         1500          250         1970
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  9         S 16         S  7        SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 810        25280          520        29600
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-210915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60           10
Temp (24h trend)              29 (-2)       52 (0)           38           61
RH % (24h trend)             82 (-18)     47 (+16)          100           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  5        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.07         0.01
Precip Duration                                               8
Precip Begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing         7 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            520         1780          260         1480
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  9         S 15         S  6        SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1450        25900            0        21110
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-210915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           70           20
Temp (24h trend)              33 (-3)       55 (0)           45           63
RH % (24h trend)             82 (-18)     57 (+23)          100           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                     SE  8 G17                      W  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             E  5         S  8        SW  6         W  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration                                               8            2
Precip Begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            280         1530          120         3950
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 10         S 14        SW  6        SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 360        22900            0        34450
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely.
Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-210915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50           10
Temp (24h trend)              30 (-6)      52 (-7)           41           66
RH % (24h trend)             79 (-21)     45 (+16)          100           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  5         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration                                               2            1
Precip Begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            500         2570          260         3500
Transport Wnd (mph)              E  8         S 15         S  5        SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        42190            0        31790
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the
upper 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-210915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       Cloudy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60            0
Temp (24h trend)              24 (-6)      47 (+1)           36           60
RH % (24h trend)             88 (-12)      37 (+5)          100           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          S  8                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S 10     S  7 G17        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                                               8
Precip Begin                                               6 PM
Precip End                                                 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            260         1620          270          880
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  8         S 18         S 10        SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        29370          400        17860
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 40. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-210915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50           10
Temp (24h trend)              27 (-7)      49 (-3)           36           62
RH % (24h trend)             81 (-15)     42 (+14)          100           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  5      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing         7 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            430         2340          400         1660
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  6         S 14         S  7        SW  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 430        38950           90        12940
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Colder. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-210915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
234 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None      showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40           10
Temp (24h trend)             28 (-10)      51 (-6)           39           65
RH % (24h trend)              81 (-8)     47 (+19)          100           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR         S  7         S  5      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing         7 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         2670          360         2930
Transport Wnd (mph)             NE  7         S 14         S 10        SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        42660           30        32680
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


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