Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 281928
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue this afternoon with min RH
in the 40s and modest southerly winds. Light showers will be
possible this evening and overnight, mainly affecting areas south of
M-59. A wet weather pattern will persist through the weekend, with
periods of steadier rainfall expected through Monday. The heaviest
rain looks to fall late Saturday through Monday afternoon, with
rainfall totals during this period looking to range between one and a
half and three inches.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers after 7 pm. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........83 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph in the late evening and early
                    morning then becoming north around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2670-3170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (410).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 pm then periods of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1030-1230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (160).
Pcpn amount.........0.76-1.00 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    scattered thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........82 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 25 to 30 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (580).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 7 pm then scattered showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........83 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming north around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 2 pm then chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2380-2880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (420).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
                    8 pm then numerous showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (150).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    scattered thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around
                    10 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1080-1580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 25 to 30 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (470).
Pcpn amount.........0.76-1.00 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 7 pm then scattered showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2 pm then showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (400).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely and
                    scattered thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous showers
                    and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1180-1680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1690).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Periods of showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
50s.

$$

SF



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