Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 241953
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

...Showers tonight with a few thunderstorms this evening...

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure moving north from the Ohio Valley will spread
rain showers into Lower Michigan tonight. A few thunderstorms are
possible as well this evening. The best chances for rain will be
across Southern Lower Michigan. Showers will persist into Thursday as
well, but they should gradually taper off into the afternoon and
evening hours. Mainly dry weather is expected Friday into Saturday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1300-1800 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-250815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 0200, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.23 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming west around 0 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms until
                    2300, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.17 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2000-2500 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely
                    until 0500, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.34 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL increasing to 5200-5700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 900 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
353 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2300. rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.36 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0400, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday. Highs
in the upper 60s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.



$$



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