Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 280755
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

...ON AND OFF SHOWERS...

.DISCUSSION...
AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THIS MORNING WILL STALL SOUTH OF MICHIGAN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY THEN LIFT BACK NORTH THROUGH THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND.
WHILE IT WON`T BE RAINING ALL THE TIME, CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL IMPACT THE AREA FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.



MIZ037>039-043>045-282015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...5400-5900 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 7600-8100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...7000-7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    9600-10100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-2000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-282015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100-10600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-282015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...5300-5800 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 8300-8800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6700-7200 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    8900-9400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO EAST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-282015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400-8900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500-11000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.18 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-282015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
355 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.38 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.48 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
UP TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$



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