Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220759
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Tropical moisture will lessen across the area which will result
in fewer showers and thunderstorms today and Friday. The remnants
of Tropical Storm Cindy should reach the southern Appalachians
Friday night with its associated moisture increasing the risk
for showers and thunderstorms Saturday. A cold front will stall
in close proximity Sunday and Monday. Finally, the cold front
will move offshore, bringing cooler and much drier air into the
area Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-222100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2
Min/Max Temp          88           73           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        SW  6        SW 12 G22
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             80/1000      2100         80/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4870                      4720
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      SW 18
Ventilation rate      38960                     84960
ADI early             23 Fair      12 poor      49 Gen good
ADI late              24 Fair      7 poor       56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            7
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-222100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            3
Min/Max Temp          87           72           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        S  6         SW 10
Precip amount         0.03         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             79/1000      2100         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4760                      5220
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      SW 18
Ventilation rate      42840                     93960
ADI early             23 Fair      21 Fair      46 Gen good
ADI late              30 Fair      7 poor       59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            7
Max LVORI late        3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-222100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          88           73           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  6         SW 11 G22
Precip amount         0.05         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             80/1000      2100         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           99           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4650                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      SW 16
Ventilation rate      23250                     81120
ADI early             13 Gen poor  16 Gen poor  44 Gen good
ADI late              14 Gen poor  7 poor       51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            7
Max LVORI late        3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-222100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
359 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          88           72           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        S  5         SW 10
Precip amount         0.04         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             78/1000      2100         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           99           52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4910                      5480
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 16
Ventilation rate      29460                     87680
ADI early             15 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  42 Gen good
ADI late              22 Fair      7 poor       55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            8
Max LVORI late        3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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