Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 241012
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure off the coast will bring unseasonable warmth
through this weekend. A cold front is expected to slowly push to
the area late Sunday before temporarily stalling across or just
south and east of the local area late Sun night thru Mon aftn.
It`s during this time frame when light rain and embedded
thunder will be most widespread. Monday night will finally
see the front pushed well south and east of the region with
improving conditions as high pressure builds across the region
Tuesday thru Wednesday with seasonable temps. Another warmup
will occur Thursday as the high moves off the Carolina Coasts.
A strong cold front will push across the area early Fri followed by
breezy to windy conditions.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-250215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            30
Precip type           Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          79           60           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  6        SW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  6        SW 12
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.02
Precip duration       1                         2
Inversion             65/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          55
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4610                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 24
Ventilation rate      92200                     126000
ADI early             56 Gen good  11 poor      61 Good
ADI late              75 Good      4 Very poor  80 Good
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-250215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          80           61           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S  7         SW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  6        SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             64/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           99           53
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4470                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      75990                     115500
ADI early             57 Gen good  11 poor      65 Good
ADI late              71 Good      6 Very poor  74 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-250215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          81           61           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        S  7         SW 11 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  8        SW 13 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             65/0900      1800         67/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        49           97           52
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4690                      5210
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      84420                     114620
ADI early             62 Good      18 Gen poor  65 Good
ADI late              62 Good      9 poor       78 Good
Max LVORI early       9            4            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-250215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          80           60           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S  7         SW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  7        SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             65/0900      1800         69/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          53
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4560                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      68400                     95220
ADI early             55 Gen good  11 poor      58 Gen good
ADI late              69 Good      7 poor       64 Good
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          81           61           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S  7         SW 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        S  7         SW 12 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             64/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           100          50
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4540                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 22
Ventilation rate      68100                     116380
ADI early             58 Gen good  11 poor      60 Gen good
ADI late              75 Good      7 poor       69 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
512 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          82           61           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        S  7         SW 11 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        S  7         SW 12 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                                 2
Inversion             64/0900      1800         67/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        48           97           51
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4680                      5260
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW 22
Ventilation rate      79560                     115720
ADI early             61 Good      12 poor      61 Good
ADI late              77 Good      9 poor       74 Good
Max LVORI early       9            4            7
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch


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