Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 271912
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front approaching from the west will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms to the Carolinas Tuesday. Drier, but
still mild weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday behind
the front as high pressure builds in from the north. A warm front
will lift through from the south on Friday accompanied by another
period of showers and thunderstorms. Drier weather is expected
for Saturday and Sunday.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-281115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           40           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   1            4            3            1
Min/Max Temp          57           78           57           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  6        SW  7        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  9        W  6         NE  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.04         0.00
Precip duration                    2            1
Inversion             2000         65/1000      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           97           47
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4750                      4610
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     NE 12
Ventilation rate                   80750                     55320
ADI early             40 Fair      40 Fair      34 Fair      41 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  45 Gen good  5 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        8            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-281115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           60           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            4            3            1
Min/Max Temp          57           79           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  7        W  7         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW 10        NW  6        NE 10
Precip amount         0.02         0.18         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            1
Inversion             2000         65/1200      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        99           50           95           42
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5610                      5010
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NE 10
Ventilation rate                   89760                     50100
ADI early             39 Fair      20 Gen poor  38 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  53 Gen good  5 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            8            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-281115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           50           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          58           80           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  8        W  7         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         SW 11        NW  6        NE  9
Precip amount         0.03         0.15         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            1
Inversion             2000         65/1100      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        98           50           94           41
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5560                      5130
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     N 10
Ventilation rate                   100080                    51300
ADI early             42 Gen good  21 Fair      41 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  61 Good      6 Very poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281115-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        30           50           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          59           82           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  6        SW  8        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW 10        W  7         N  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       0            2            0
Inversion             2000         65/1000      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        96           45           94           42
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5900                      5320
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NE  7
Ventilation rate                   94400                     37240
ADI early             35 Fair      32 Fair      35 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              5 Very poor  49 Gen good  5 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-281115-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           50           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          59           82           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  7        W  7         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW 11        NW  6        NE  6
Precip amount         0.03         0.06         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            0
Inversion             2000         65/1000      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        93           45           93           39
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6180                      5390
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     NE  6
Ventilation rate                   123600                    32340
ADI early             33 Fair      47 Gen good  47 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  65 Good      4 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            3            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-281115-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
312 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        40           60           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            4            3            1
Min/Max Temp          58           81           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  8        W  6         N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         SW 11        NW  6        NE  6
Precip amount         0.05         0.06         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       2            2            0
Inversion             2000         65/1000      2000         65/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        95           47           92           40
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5790                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     NE  6
Ventilation rate                   115800                    31800
ADI early             35 Fair      43 Gen good  43 Gen good  45 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  64 Good      3 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            3            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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