Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 272027
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

An active weather pattern will occur across the Mid-South through
Wednesday. A warm front will lift northward through the Mid-South
tonight while a trailing cold front will push through the area
late Tuesday Night into Wednesday. As a result, chances
for showers and thunderstorms will occur through the period.
Some storms may be severe Tuesday Night into Wednesday.

Gusty southerly winds will occur across the area Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday Night ahead of the cold front. The winds will turn
around to the northwest behind the front on Wednesday, but
will remain strong.

High pressure will then build into the region on Thursday. As a result,
drier air will filter into the Mid-South. Low relative humidity
values can be expected during the afternoon hours.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-281115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           40           70           40
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.15         0.08         0.50         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            9            1
Precip Begins         9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+11)     75 (+14)     60           65
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (+1)      69 (+11)     98           33
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 8-12 G19                W 13-17 G22
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 5-9       S 12-16 G22  S 12-16 G24  NW 12-16 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1119                      1576
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3671                      5170
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1205                      1662
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3953                      5452
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW 15                     NW 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 33                     NW 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  18075                     23268
Category Day                       5                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 14                      W 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 31                      W 28
Dispersion Index      18           55           65           84
LAL                   4            3            4            3
LASI                  2            3            2            4
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-281115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           30           70           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.13         0.07         0.31         0.11
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            9            1
Precip Begins         9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      59 (+13)     77 (+15)     63           68
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (0)       65 (+4)      95           34
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 8-12 G19                W 12-16
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 6-10      S 12-16      S 13-17 G25  NW 11-15
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 985                       1427
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3231                      4683
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1047                      1489
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3435                      4886
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW 15                     NW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 33                     NW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)                  15705                     16379
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      W 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 29                      W 25
Dispersion Index      23           76           56           78
LAL                   3            3            4            3
LASI                  2            3            2            4
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-281115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           70           70           80
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.16         0.59         0.26
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            6            9            7
Precip Begins         9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (+10)     74 (+13)     63           68
RH % (24h Trend)      90 (-2)      68 (+18)     94           36
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 7-11                    SW 11-15 G20
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 9-13       S 10-14 G21  W 10-14 G21
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 823                       1419
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2699                      4654
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 944                       1540
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3097                      5052
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW 13                     W 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 30                     W 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12272                     21560
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      W 14
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 30                      W 30
Dispersion Index      17           46           67           85
LAL                   4            3            4            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-281115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           50           70           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.12         0.11         0.36         0.28
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            6            7
Precip Begins         9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+10)     76 (+14)     64           70
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (0)       66 (+13)     93           36
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 7-11                    SW 11-15 G20
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 9-13 G18   S 10-14 G22  NW 11-15 G21
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 637                       1376
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2091                      4513
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 758                       1497
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2488                      4911
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      W 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 28                      W 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9096                      20958
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      W 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 30                      W 29
Dispersion Index      19           50           71           106
LAL                   4            3            4            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-281115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           40           60           60
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.11         0.07         0.22         0.23
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            6            5
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      59 (+14)     78 (+16)     65           71
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (-1)      63 (+2)      95           36
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 7-11 G17                SW 11-15 G20
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 5-9       S 10-14 G19  S 11-15 G23  NW 10-14 G20
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 866                       1815
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2841                      5955
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 938                       1887
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3076                      6190
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      W 12
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 28                      W 28
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11256                     22644
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 12                      W 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 26                      W 24
Dispersion Index      15           56           53           90
LAL                   3            3            4            4
LASI                  2            3            3            3
Stability             D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 31 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-281115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
227 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           50           50           70
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.05         0.11         0.14         0.30
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            2            6
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+12)     77 (+17)     65           72
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (+1)      64 (+14)     92           39
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 6-10                    SW 9-13
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 8-12       S 8-12 G17   W 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 738                       1448
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2421                      4749
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 862                       1571
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2827                      5155
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 10                      W 12
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 22                      W 28
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8620                      18852
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 11                      W 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 24                      W 24
Dispersion Index      13           34           53           90
LAL                   3            3            4            5
LASI                  2            2            3            3
Stability             D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 27 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

KRM



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