Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 131929
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be gusty through the night...with a slight
chance for snow flurries in areas in SW VA and NE TN. High pressure
will set up through Saturday...with clearing skies and a gradual
warming trend expected each day. The next chance for rain moves in
Sunday morning.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+13)  34-39 (-2)   21-26        35-40
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+9)   54-59 (+25)  95-100       44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G26                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G38    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2800                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 12                     W 10
Dispersion                         27 Fair                   16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G26                 W  5 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G38    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      25-30 (+12)  33-38 (-2)   21-26        32-37
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (+6)   53-58 (+25)  95-100       52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 13 G40                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G45    NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR      W  8 G20
Precip type           flurries     snow showers NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       Continuing
Precip end                         10 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     W 13
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 17 G40                 W  5 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 20 G45    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      W 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-142030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      25-30 (+12)  35-40 (-3)   22-27        33-38
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+11)  53-58 (+27)  92-97        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G31                 W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G48    NW  6 G19    LGT/VAR      W  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      1200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 12
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 12 G31                 W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 23 G48    NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      W  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-142030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+10)  39-44 (-2)   23-28        36-41
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+19)  52-57 (+34)  94-99        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G31    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     NW  8
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G31    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs around 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-142030-
Nantahala National Forest-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+10)  40-45 (0)    22-27        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+19)  53-58 (+30)  95-100       47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G28    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2000                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     W  9
DISPERSION                         17 Gen poor               11 Poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs around 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142030-
East Tennessee District East-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+12)  37-42 (-2)   22-27        36-41
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+10)  51-56 (+29)  95-100       45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G32    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3000                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W  8
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G22                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G32    NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s
to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142030-
East Tennessee District West-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+10)  38-43 (-4)   22-27        37-42
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+16)  48-53 (+28)  95-100       44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G30    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     W  7
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G30    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-142030-
Cumberland District South-
229 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017 /129 PM CST Wed Dec 13 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+11)  42-47 (-2)   23-28        39-44
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+13)  46-51 (+24)  92-97        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G28    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2700                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     NW  7
Dispersion                         21 Fair                   12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7                     NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G28    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs around 50. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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