Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
467
FNUS54 KMRX 051012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDER FOR TODAY...
A COLD UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY...THEN NORTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES FOR FRIDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS.  THE RAIN MAY MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE SMOKY
MOUNTAINS.  UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY...THEN A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  40-45 (+2)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   95-100 (+7)  41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     NW  8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  8 G16    NW  9 G16
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.17         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 21
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   67 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 NW 10 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW 10 G20    NW 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  38-43 (+2)   56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 NW  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G19    NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.31         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 22
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 NW 11 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G23    NW 12 G24    NW 13 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-061115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  37-42 (+3)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   95-100 (+5)  35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 NW 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  8 G18    NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.09         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 23
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   75 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW 11 G23    NW 13 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-061115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-11)  40-45 (+2)   64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   94-99 (+2)   30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     N 10 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  7 G16    NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           10
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 24
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   109 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 N 13 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW  9 G20    NW 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-061115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-10)  39-44 (+2)   63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+8)   94-99 (+3)   30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9                     N 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  8 G16    NW 11 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 26
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   114 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 N 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 10 G20    NW 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-11)  41-46 (+2)   61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   95-100 (+7)  39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 NW  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    W  7         NW  9
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.15         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 20
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   80 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 NW 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    W  9 G17     NW 11 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-10)  42-47 (+2)   65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+8)   93-98 (+6)   33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  9 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  6        NW  9
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           10
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N 21
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     N 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  8 G18    NW 11 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
612 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 /512 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   42-47 (+2)   66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (+2)  35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G16                 N  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    NW  6 G15    N  9 G16
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N 23
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               115 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G20                 N 11 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  8 G19    N 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.