Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 161917
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture across the region coupled with
an approaching weak front by Friday will result in the possibility
of showers and thunderstorms for the next few days. Coverage for the
most part will be scattered in nature...with the greatest coverage
occurring during the afternoon and evening hours.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (0)    81-86 (0)    66-71        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (0)    94-99        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           40           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.18         0.11         0.08
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 13
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+1)   78-83 (-2)   64-69        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  57-62 (-2)   95-100       57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           40           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.16         0.07         0.09
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW 15
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5        W  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-172030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+2)   77-82 (-3)   65-70        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  60-65 (+1)   95-100       57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5 G16    W  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.18         0.11         0.07
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 16
Dispersion                         30 Fair                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     W  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8         SW  7 G16    W 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-172030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+5)   83-88 (0)    67-72        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (-1)   92-97        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.15         0.15         0.07
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 14
Dispersion                         40 Fair                   52 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     W  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  5        W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the northeast after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 90s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds.

$$

NCZ060-061-172030-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   82-87 (0)    66-71        82-87
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  56-61 (-2)   95-100       55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.16         0.06         0.07
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 15
DISPERSION                         40 Fair                   56 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5        W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172030-
East Tennessee District East-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (0)    84-89 (0)    67-72        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  55-60 (-1)   94-99        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      W  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           40           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.15         0.09         0.07
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 14
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to
lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172030-
East Tennessee District West-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   85-90 (+1)   68-73        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  55-60 (-3)   94-99        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.16         0.15         0.05
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     W 13
Dispersion                         44 Gen good               58 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  5        W  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. North
winds less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s to lower
70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-172030-
Cumberland District South-
317 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /217 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+3)   86-91 (+1)   70-75        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  53-58 (-4)   92-97        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.11         0.21         0.05
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 12
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G15                 W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  6        W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 70. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. North winds
less than 10 mph.

$$


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