Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 171909
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in through the week. Drier and
cooler weather can be expected for the first half of this
week...with temperatures gradually warming through the
latter half of the week.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+1)   67-72 (+6)   39-44        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-3)   29-34 (-4)   87-92        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                S  5                      SW  6
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. South winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-1)   62-67 (+3)   37-42        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+4)   34-39 (-6)   84-89        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     W  5
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. North winds less than
10 mph shifting to the east early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-182030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-2)   64-69 (+5)   36-41        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  38-43 (-1)   84-89        23-28
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  1                     N  3
Dispersion                         2 Very poor               1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Light
winds becoming southeast less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-182030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-2)   68-73 (+6)   37-42        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  34-39 (-4)   90-95        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                S  1                      N  3
Dispersion                         3 Very poor               3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-182030-
Nantahala National Forest-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   68-73 (+5)   35-40        69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  34-39 (-4)   91-96        27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     N  2
DISPERSION                         9 Poor                    2 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          7                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. Light winds becoming
northeast less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the south early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-
East Tennessee District East-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-2)   68-73 (+5)   38-43        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  31-36 (-2)   93-98        34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)                S  2                      SW  3
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-
East Tennessee District West-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (0)    68-73 (+5)   40-45        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (0)    35-40 (+1)   89-94        33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  2                     SW  3
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182030-
Cumberland District South-
309 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017 /209 PM CDT Tue Oct 17 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-2)   68-73 (+4)   40-45        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  35-40 (-3)   87-92        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  3                      S  3
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

TD/JW



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