Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 131133
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
433 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER DESERTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
INITIALLY...THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. HOWEVER...AS THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE...THERE WILL BE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND GREATER MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH GREATER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
WETTING RAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...DESERTS...AND INLAND VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
DECREASE FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX


AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
WESTWARD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH WILL
SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...WITH PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
CONFINED TO NEAR-COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
IN ADDITION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FAR
EASTERN INTERIOR PORTION OF L.A. COUNTY...AND THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF
THE VENTURA MOUNTAINS.

AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL STREAM OVER THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE WILL BE POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR AREAS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
THE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
DURING THIS TIME THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
WETTING RAINS OVER THE L.A. AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE
VALLEY. ON MONDAY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL SPREAD WEST INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS
OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP...ALONG WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

TEMPERATURES WILL TREND MUCH WARMER DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
WESTWARD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE RIDGE WILL RECENTER
ITSELF OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK AND ALLOW
MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE DISTRICT. ITS
ARRIVAL COULD INITIATE ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING WITH A CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM
THREAT EACH DAY THEREAFTER THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NEVADA WILL
BOOST TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES TODAY. SOME MOISTURE WILL ALSO
SPREAD BACK INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA LEADING TO A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. A MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER
THE ENTIRE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH EXPANDING THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE MORE EXTENSIVE ACROSS THE
DISTRICT...ESPECIALLY MONDAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS RECEIVING DECENT
RAINFALL. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS MAY ALSO BE COMMON THIS AFTERNOON WORKING
WESTWARD THROUGH ARIZONA. A SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED THIS
EVENING WITH WIDESPREAD DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S SPREADING INTO THE AREA.
THUS BY MONDAY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY FALL INTO A 20 TO 40
PERCENT RANGE WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-132333-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
433 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER DESERTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
INITIALLY...THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. HOWEVER...AS THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE...THERE WILL BE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND GREATER MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH GREATER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
WETTING RAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...DESERTS...AND INLAND VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
DECREASE FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

ECC034-132333-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
433 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER DESERTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
INITIALLY...THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. HOWEVER...AS THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE...THERE WILL BE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND GREATER MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH GREATER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
WETTING RAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...DESERTS...AND INLAND VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
DECREASE FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

ECC035-132333-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
433 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2014


INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER DESERTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
INITIALLY...THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. HOWEVER...AS THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE...THERE WILL BE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND GREATER MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH GREATER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
WETTING RAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...DESERTS...AND INLAND VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
DECREASE FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$




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