Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 030347
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR TRAP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
944 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2134 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS HAS STABILIZED THIS EVENING WITH SOME
CLEARING EXPECTED ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS. INCREASING MOISTURE LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH AN INCREASE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........74%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 1000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    0500...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7100-8100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR TRAP.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/02-21 43  9  2 62 41 WNW  5  7 3 1 SSW  7  3129 WSW 12 30041 P
09/02-22 43  9  2 59 48 WSW  6  7 3 1 SSW  8  2396 WSW 12 23191 P
09/02-23 43  6  1 55 57  SW  8 13 3 1   S  8  1664 WSW 12 16231 P
09/03-00 40  2  0 53 61  SW  8 13 3 1   S  9   932 WSW 12  9161 P
09/03-01 41  2  0 52 64 WSW  8 13 3 1   S  9   966 WSW 12 10048 P
09/03-02 42  2  0 51 66 WSW  8 13 2 1 SSW  9   999   W 13 10974 P
09/03-03 43  2  0 50 68 WSW  8 13 2 1  SW  9  1033   W 14 11939 P
09/03-04 43  2  0 48 73 WSW  8 13 2 1 SSW  9   968   W 14 11686 P
09/03-05 44  2  0 47 74 WSW  8 13 3 1   S  9   904   W 15 11367 P
09/03-06 44 10  2 50 66 WSW  8 13 3 2   S  9   840   W 15 10984 P
09/03-07 44 13  3 53 59 WSW  8 13 3 2   S 10  2505   W 13 26656 P
09/03-08 45 16  3 57 52 WSW  8 13 2 3   S 12  4171   W  9 34188 P
09/03-09 45 19  4 62 44 WSW  8 13 2 3   S 12  5837 WSW  7 33580 P
09/03-10 49 22  4 67 37 WSW  8  8 2 3 SSE 12  6999  SW  7 38873 P
09/03-11 53 25  5 70 34  SW  7  7 2 4 SSE 12  8161   S  6 43704  F
09/03-12 57 29  8 73 30  SW  7  7 2 4 SSE 12  9324   S  6 48071  F
09/03-13 57 29  8 73 30  SW  7  7 2 4   S 16  8616   S  7 55672  F
09/03-14 57 29  8 72 31 SSW  8  8 2 4   S 21  7909   S  9 61425   G
09/03-15 57 30  9 70 34   S  8 13 2 4   S 25  7201   S 10 65330   G
09/03-16 57 30  9 68 38 SSW  8 13 2 4 SSW 22  7023 SSW 10 65199   G
09/03-17 57 31 10 66 43  SW  8 13 2 4 SSW 18  6844 WSW 10 64993   G
09/03-18 61 31 10 64 50  SW  8 13 2 4  SW 14  6666 WSW 12 64712   G
09/03-19 61 31 10 61 56 WSW  8  8 2 4  SW 13  5778 WSW 10 52799  F
09/03-20 61 31 10 58 62 WSW  7  7 2 4 WSW 12  4889 WSW 10 41898  F
09/03-21 61 20  4 55 69 WSW  7  7 2 3 WSW 10  4001 WSW  9 30578 P
09/03-22 61 20  4 53 73 WSW  7  7 2 3   W 12  3051 WSW  9 23986 P
09/03-23 61 20  4 52 75 WSW  7  7 2 3   W 13  2101 WSW  9 16977 P
09/04-00 55  9  2 51 77 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 14  1151 WSW  9  9551 P
09/04-01 55  9  2 50 79 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 14  1100 WSW 10 10428 P
09/04-02 55  9  2 49 81 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 14  1050 WSW 13 11186 P
09/04-03 55  9  2 48 83 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 14  1000 WSW 14 11827 P
09/04-04 55  9  2 47 84 WSW 10 17 2 1   W 14   950 WSW 15 12349 P
09/04-05 55  9  2 47 83 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 14   899 WSW 16 12753 P
09/04-06 65  6  1 48 80 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW 15   849 WSW 17 13038 P
09/04-07 65  6  1 52 70 WSW 10 17 2 1 WSW 14  2291 WSW 16 32486 P
09/04-08 65  6  1 56 61 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 14  3733 WSW 15 48544  F
09/04-09 65  6  1 61 52 WSW 12 18 3 1  SW 14  5175  SW 14 61212   G
09/04-10 65  6  1 65 43 WSW 10 17 3 1  SW 13  6617  SW 13 70490   G
09/04-11 65  6  1 68 37  SW  9 15 3 1 SSW 13  8059 SSW 10 76378   G
09/04-12 79 38 16 70 34  SW  8 13 3 4 SSW 12  9501 SSW  9 78876   G
09/04-13 79 38 16 70 34 SSW  8 13 3 4 SSW 13  9129   S 10 81438   G
09/04-14 79 38 16 69 36   S  8 13 3 4   S 14  8757   S 12 83539   G
09/04-15 79 38 16 68 39 SSE  8 13 3 4   S 15  8386   S 12 85181   G
09/04-16 79 38 16 67 42 SSE  8 14 3 4   S 16  8014   S 13 86364   G
09/04-17 79 38 16 66 45   S  9 15 3 4 SSE 17  7643 SSE 13 87086   G
09/04-18 84 28  8 64 50   S  9 15 3 4 SSE 18  7271 SSE 14 87350   G
09/04-19 84 28  8 61 56   S  9 14 3 4 SSE 21  6261 SSE 13 67063   G
09/04-20 84 28  8 58 62   S  8 13 3 4 SSE 22  5250   S 10 49406  F
09/04-21 84 28  8 55 69   S  7  7 3 4 SSE 23  4239   S  9 34379 P
09/04-22 84 28  8 53 74   S  7  7 2 4 SSE 25  3228   S  8 21982 P
09/04-23 84 28  8 52 75  SW  6  6 2 4 SSE 26  2218 SSW  7 12215 P
09/05-00 74 16  3 51 77  SW  6  6 2 3 SSE 29  1207 SSW  5  5078 P
09/05-01 74 16  3 50 78  SW  6  6 2 3   S 29  1162 SSW  6  5855 P
09/05-02 74 16  3 49 79 WSW  6  6 2 3 SSW 29  1116  SW  7  6556 P
09/05-03 74 16  3 48 80 WSW  6  6 2 3  SW 30  1070  SW  8  7181 P
09/05-04 74 16  3 47 81 WSW  6  6 2 3 WSW 30  1025 WSW  9  7730 P
09/05-05 74 16  3 46 83 WSW  7  7 2 3   W 30   979 WSW  9  8203 P
09/05-06 66 18  4 46 83 WSW  7  7 2 3   W 31   934 WSW 10  8601 P
09/05-07 66 18  4 48 77 WSW  8 13 2 3   W 29  1972 WSW 12 19709 P
09/05-08 66 18  4 51 70 WSW  9 14 2 3   W 26  3010 WSW 13 32449 P
09/05-09 66 18  4 55 61 WSW  9 15 2 3 WSW 25  4048 WSW 14 46819  F
09/05-10 66 18  4 59 53  SW  9 15 2 3 WSW 23  5086 WSW 14 62820   G
09/05-11 66 18  4 64 44  SW  8 14 2 3 WSW 21  6124 WSW 15 80451   G
09/05-12 65 22  4 67 39  SW  8 13 2 3  SW 20  7162 WSW 16 99714   G
09/05-13 65 22  4 69 36 SSW  8  8 2 3  SW 20  7549  SW 16105650    V
09/05-14 65 22  4 70 34 SSW  7  7 2 3  SW 20  7937  SW 16111642    V
09/05-15 65 22  4 70 34 SSW  7  7 3 3  SW 20  8325  SW 16117690    V
09/05-16 65 22  4 69 34 SSW  7  7 3 3 SSW 20  8712 SSW 16123793    V
09/05-17 65 22  4 68 35   S  7  7 3 3 SSW 20  9100 SSW 16129951    V
09/05-18 59  8  2 66 37   S  7  7 3 1 SSW 20  9487 SSW 16136165    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...ANNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150902.BEART.01/BOU


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