Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 222223
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Trout Creek Turkey...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
423 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on October 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Strong northwesterly flow aloft will continue over
the forecast area on mOnday. A cold front will push into the burn
area around noon on Monday. Temperatures will be cool on Monday
as a result. Alos, humidities will not be as low as they were
today. t of the I-25 Corridor. Mountain areas will still be windy
at times. There will be no precipitation.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1200, then partly cloudy
                    until 1300, then mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........27%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-7 mph until 1200, then northwest
                     8-14 mph.
Mixing height.......5000-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1300, then good
                     until 1700, then fair.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........66%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......3300-4100 ft AGL until 2000, then 1400-2400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds
5-6 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Cooler. Mostly clear. Chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5-12 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Colder. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows around
20. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds 6-7 mph.


Fire Weather Table for Trout Creek Turkey.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/22-17 38  0  0 59 24   W  9 15 2 1         3942 WNW 22 73567   G
10/22-18 42  0  0 56 26   W  9 15 2 1         3256 WNW 21 60198   G
10/22-19 40  0  0 52 31   W 12 18 2 1         2604 WNW 21 47483  F
10/22-20 38  0  0 49 33   W 14 22 2 1         1952   W 21 35099 P
10/22-21 36  0  0 46 37   W 14 22 2 1         1300   W 21 23048 P
10/22-22 34  0  0 45 38   W 14 22 2 1         1232   W 20 21366 P
10/22-23 32  0  0 44 40   W 14 22 2 1         1163   W 20 19736 P
10/23-00 30  0  0 44 40 WSW 13 20 2 1         1095   W 20 18159 P
10/23-01 29  0  0 43 41 WSW 12 18 2 1         1050   W 17 15931 P
10/23-02 27  0  0 42 43 WSW 12 18 2 1         1004   W 16 13830 P
10/23-03 25  0  0 41 46 WSW 10 16 2 1          959   W 14 11857 P
10/23-04 23  0  0 40 48 WSW  9 15 2 1          988   W 13 11097 P
10/23-05 22  0  0 39 50 WSW  9 14 2 1         1018   W 12 10270 P
10/23-06 20  0  0 39 52  SW  8 13 2 1         1047   W 10  9376 P
10/23-07 21  0  0 40 50 WSW  8 13 2 1         1517   W  9 12353 P
10/23-08 22  0  0 41 48 WSW  7  7 2 1         1986 WNW  8 14570 P
10/23-09 23  0  0 44 45 WSW  7  7 2 1         2456  NW  8 16025 P
10/23-10 25  0  0 47 42   W  7  7 2 1         3279  NW  9 26438 P
10/23-11 28  0  0 51 36 WNW  6  6 2 1         4102  NW 12 39382 P
10/23-12 30  0  0 54 32  NW  6  6 2 1         4925 WNW 13 54857  F
10/23-13 28  0  0 57 29  NW  6  6 2 1         5444 WNW 14 65482   G
10/23-14 25  1  0 58 27 NNW  7  7 2 1         5962 WNW 15 77030   G
10/23-15 23  1  0 58 27 NNW  8 13 2 1         6481 WNW 16 89502   G
10/23-16 21  1  0 56 29 NNW  8 13 2 1         5701 WNW 14 69430   G
10/23-17 20  1  0 52 33   N  8 13 2 1         4921 WNW 13 51903  F
10/23-18 19  0  0 50 34   N  8  8 2 1         4142 WNW 10 36921 P
10/23-19 17  0  0 46 42   N  6  6 2 1         3320  NW  9 25955 P
10/23-20 14  0  0 43 49   N  5  5 2 1         2498  NW  8 16791 P
10/23-21 12  0  0 40 55   N  5  5 2 1         1677  NW  7  9429 P
10/23-22 12  0  0 38 59   N  3  3 2 1         1700  NW  8 11491 P
10/23-23 13  0  0 37 59 NNW  3  3 2 1         1724 NNW  9 13607 P
10/24-00 13  1  0 36 59 NNW  5  5 2 1         1747   N 10 15776 P
10/24-01 13  1  0 34 61 NNW  3  3 2 1         1671   N  9 13945 P
10/24-02 13  1  0 33 63 NNW  3  3 2 1         1595 NNW  9 12219 P
10/24-03 12  1  0 32 63  NW  5  5 2 1         1519 NNW  8 10597 P
10/24-04 14  1  0 31 66 WNW  5  5 2 1         1402 NNW  7  8895 P
10/24-05 17  1  0 31 63   W  6  6 2 1         1284  NW  7  7341 P
10/24-06 19  1  0 31 63   W  6  6 2 1         1167  NW  6  5935 P
10/24-07 15  1  0 32 61   W  6  6 2 1         1353  NW  7  8243 P
10/24-08  8  1  0 35 54   W  5  5 3 1         1540  NW  8 10926 P
10/24-09  4  1  0 38 46 WNW  5  5 3 1         1726  NW  9 13983 P
10/24-10  7  1  0 43 35  NW  5  5 3 1         2887  NW 13 31725 P
10/24-11 14  1  0 48 26 NNW  6  6 3 1         4047 NNW 16 56174  F
10/24-12 17  1  0 52 22   N  7  7 3 1         5208 NNW 20 87329   G
10/24-13 16  1  0 55 19   N  8  8 3 1         5705 NNW 20 99686   G
10/24-14 14  1  0 57 18   N  8  8 2 1         6203   N 21112742    V
10/24-15 13  1  0 57 19   N  8  8 2 1         6701   N 22126498    V
10/24-16 14  1  0 56 19 NNE  7  8 2 1         6005 NNW 18 95708   G
10/24-17 17  1  0 54 22 NNE  7  7 2 1         5310 NNW 15 69009   G
10/24-18 18  1  0 51 24 NNE  6  6 2 1         4615 NNW 12 46399  F
10/24-19 15  1  0 47 28   N  6  6 2 1         3429 NNW 10 31787 P
10/24-20 10  1  0 43 33  NW  5  5 2 1         2242 NNW  9 19031 P
10/24-21  7  1  0 41 36 WNW  5  5 2 1         1055 NNW  9  8132 P
10/24-22  8  1  0 39 39   W  5  5 2 1         1146 NNW  8  8274 P
10/24-23  9  1  0 39 40   W  5  5 2 1         1237 NNW  8  8329 P
10/25-00  9  1  0 39 40   W  5  5 2 1         1327 NNW  7  8296 P
10/25-01  8  1  0 39 40   W  5  5 2 1         1189  NW  7  7130 P
10/25-02  5  1  0 38 40   W  5  5 2 1         1051 WNW  7  6035 P
10/25-03  3  1  0 37 40 WSW  5  5 2 1          913   W  6  5009 P
10/25-04  5  1  0 36 40 WSW  5  5 2 1          923   W  7  5400 P
10/25-05  6  1  0 36 40 WSW  6  6 2 1          932   W  7  5798 P
10/25-06  5  0  0 37 38 WSW  6  6 2 1          942 WSW  8  6203 P
10/25-07  5  0  0 38 37 WSW  6  6 2 1          994 WSW  8  7093 P
10/25-08  4  0  0 41 34 WSW  6  6 3 1         1046 WSW  9  8039 P
10/25-09  4  0  0 46 28 WSW  6  6 3 1         1097   W  9  9042 P
10/25-10  4  0  0 52 23 WSW  7  7 3 1         2410   W 12 23371 P
10/25-11  3  0  0 59 17 WSW  7  7 4 1         3723 WNW 13 41523  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 65 14 WSW  8  8 4 1         5035 WNW 15 63499   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 68 12   W  8  8 4 1         5738 WNW 14 69868   G
10/25-14  4  0  0 69 12   W  8  8 4 1         6441  NW 14 75627   G
10/25-15  4  0  0 68 12 WNW  8  8 4 1         7144  NW 13 80776   G
10/25-16  5  0  0 66 13 WNW  8  8 5 1         6138  NW 12 62698   G
10/25-17  7  0  0 63 14 WNW  7  7 5 1         5133  NW 10 46819  F
10/25-18  8  0  0 59 16 WNW  7  7 5 1         4128  NW  9 12849 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...Tom Barter
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717385.3/BOU


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