Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FWSBUF

Spot Forecast for SAR DIVER...Erie Co Sheriff
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
855 PM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0700 EDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will bring a few showers to the Niagara Frontier through
this evening. Otherwise very warm temperatures and dry weather will
continue through midday Sunday. Winds gusts of 35 mph will begin
around 9AM increasing through the afternoon. A strong cold front will
sweep across the area Sunday afternoon between 3PM and 5PM with a band
of gusty showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Winds will become strong
along and behind the front with gusts possibly to 50 or 55 mph through
9PM before tapering off through the evening hours.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65 percent), then becoming cloudy
                    (95 percent). A chance of showers late. Showers
                    and a chance of thunderstorms late.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Surface winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 14 to 22 mph,
                    increasing to 24 to 26 mph late with gusts to
                    55 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............59  65  65  66  67  72  82  87  90  95  97
Weather cov.........                                CHC DEF DEF
Weather type........                                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............                                    CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  100 90
Temp................70  70  71  72  72  73  74  73  72  69  66
Surface wnd dir.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.....16  17  18  19  20  21  21  22  24  25  27
Surface wnd gst.....30  30  35  35  40  40  40  45  45  50  55

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70 percent), then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60 percent). Showers likely
                    early in the evening. A slight chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Surface winds.......Breezy. West winds 21 to 28 mph, decreasing to
                    12 to 18 mph after midnight.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............83  54  40  44  38  56  57  58  58  61  66  68
Weather cov.........LKY                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type........RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............
Chc of pcpn (%).....60  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp................63  61  59  56  54  53  51  50  49  48  48  47
Surface wnd dir.....SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.....28  28  27  26  24  22  20  18  17  15  14  12
Surface wnd gst.....55  55  55  50  45  40  40  35  30  25  20  20

$$

Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Scott Patronik
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1717230.0/BUF
.EMAIL scott.patronik@erie.gov



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