Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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441
FNUS71 KCTP 252256
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 025...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
656 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 26.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
A storm system off the Delmarva Peninsula will continue to
bring clouds and spotty light rain to the area overnight.

High pressure will build into the area Wednesday, bringing
brightening skies, light wind and much milder weather. An
approaching front will bring a chance of late day thunderstorms
on Thursday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....48-54.
Max humidity........51-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......500-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  68  67  64  57  54  50  43  39  37  31  29  26  22  20  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  29  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  48  52  55  58  60  63  66  68  69  70  71  70  68  67  65  62  60  59  58  57  56  56  55
RH..............96  100 93  86  80  75  70  63  59  57  55  51  55  61  65  70  75  81  83  86  90  93  93  96
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   2   1   1   1   2   3   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  12  12
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1600...then 9-15 strikes until
                    1700...then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL...increasing to 2600-2800 ft
                    AGL late.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  36  37  39  42  45  47  50  52  54  58  63
Weather cov.....                                        CHC CHC
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   4
Temp............56  57  58  62  65  69  71  74  76  77  78  79
RH..............93  90  86  78  73  66  61  55  52  50  48  47
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  13  14  15  15  16  17  18  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Fitzgerald
Requested by...Ben Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707769.0/CTP
.EMAIL benjjones@pa.gov



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