Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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000
FNUS75 KCYS 291432
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
832 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ALMOST A HALF INCH OF RAIN OBSERVED AT THE BURN SITE
YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT...THIS MORNING IS STARTING WITH SOME
SUNSHINE AT THE SITE. THIS WILL CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
THICK CLOUD COVER OVER WRN COLORADO LIFTS NORTHEAST TURNING SKIES
CLOUDY BY AROUND NOON. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK LESS
LIKELY THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS THROUGH.
AS THIS HAPPENS...WILL SEE WINDS BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAIN CHANCES
WILL WIND DOWN AFTER 9 PM THIS EVENING...WITH EXCELLENT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN BY EARLY MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY TUESDAY MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...BUT COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE A BIT LESS THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). INCREASING CLOUDS
                    THROUGH THE MORNING BECOMING CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY NOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69800-135900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTING TO
                    BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH AFTER 0300.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO ZERO PERCENT AFTER
                    2100.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85300-160300 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 56 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER NOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST/SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (128800-182200 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.MONTG.01/CYS





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