Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FNUS73 KDDC 281308
FWSDDC

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST LSM...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
808 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NORTHERLY WINDS AT AROUND 10 MPH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE EAST
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE LATE DAY
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS BECOMING EAST WINDS AT AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2500 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5100 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     52     48     39     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     50     56     61     66     66
RH..............68     58     47     39     36     39
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 12   N 8    NE 6   E 6    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     15     10     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 6    N 10   N 6    NE 5   E 5    E 6
     WIND GUST..10     20     15     10     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........52     69     92     98     98     99
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     58     54     52     50     48
RH..............43     58     71     80     86     92
20 FT WIND......E 9    NE 8   NE 9   E 13   E 15   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 7    NE 6   NE 7   E 10   E 12   E 12
     WIND GUST..10     10     10     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     50     54     57     59     59
20 FT WIND......E 15   E 16   E 16   E 17   E 17   E 16
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     25     25     25
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 12   E 13   E 13   E 14   E 14   E 13
     WIND GUST..20     25     25     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BURGERT
REQUESTED BY...DAVID MCCAULEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160428.WESTL.01/DDC



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