Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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979
FNUS73 KDTX 251432
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Gaede Marsh...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1032 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EDT on September 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Record breaking early fall heat will continue today and
Tuesday as high temperatures linger in the upper 80s to lower 90s. A
ridge of surface high pressure will keep winds very light
with potentially varying wind directions. Current forecast information
supports a general southeasterly, offshore wind direction this afternoon.
Dry conditions are favored, but a very low chance for a shower
or thunderstorm exists across northern Tuscola County during the 3-6 pm
EDT time window.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning...then becoming east early in
                    the afternoon becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1900 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-20000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)..........42  46  50  55
Weather cov......
Weather type.....
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............84  84  84  83
RH...............48  48  48  50
Eye lvl wnd dir..NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd..4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst..    10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)....4.0 4.4 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir..S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd..7   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/1000.20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....63-68.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 10 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)..........50     42     46     46     42     41
Weather cov......
Weather type.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............81     77     74     71     70     69
RH...............53     61     71     79     85     86
Eye level wind...E 5    E 5    SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 5
Eye lvl wnd gst..10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
Forecaster...Behnke
Requested by...Don klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716206.0/DTX
.EMAIL klinglerd@michigan.gov



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