Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 241441
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR WMA...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
841 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ABOVE KERR COUNTY THE REST
OF THIS MORNING AND CLEARING IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHILE AVERAGING 5 TO 10 MPH
THIS MORNING AND 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON FROM 2 TO 4 PM (23 TO 24
PERCENT RANGE). ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY INCLUDING THE WESTERN PART OF KERR COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON BASED ON THE WIND AND RH VALUES ABOVE MENTIONED. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE
AVERAGING 5 MPH OR LESS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1100
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19  18  16  14  16  17  19  20  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............56  63  70  75  78  83  83  84  81
RH..............55  44  35  28  25  24  23  23  26
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   5   6   6   6   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.8 3.5 2.7 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  15  15  15  14  13  12  9   8
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 1800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 32
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 28
                    TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...17
REQUESTED BY...RYAN REITZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700708.0/EWX
.EMAIL RYAN.REITZ@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV



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