Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 151541
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BASTROP SP RX FIRE...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
941 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON DECEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH A NORTHWESTERLY
WIND SHIFT AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE BURN SITE AT THE TIME OF IGNITION. THE DRIER
AIR ALONG WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S WILL DROP MINIMUM HUMIDITIES TO NEAR
30 PERCENT TODAY. LIGHT NORTH WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS
OVERNIGHT HUMIDITIES RECOVER TO NEAR 60 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........19     11     5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     72     73     68
RH..............51     39     31     36
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 9   NW 10  NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      6      6      7      12     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     56     53     51     50     47
RH..............44     55     60     62     61     64
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 5    N 5    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.

$$
FORECASTER...24
REQUESTED BY...GREG CREACY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141215.BASTR.01/EWX






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