Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 181851
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCH PILES RX...AZ-PDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1151 AM MST THU AUG 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 MST ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING AFTER SUNSET. STORMS SHOULD
SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE EAST. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...BUT
GUSTY AROUND STORMS. FEWER STORMS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS DRIER
AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (66500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......665.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 TO 70 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 40 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...KLIMOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...CINDY MATTHEWS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160818.RANCH.02/FGZ


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