Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 290633
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKEYE RESERVOIR RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1233 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1715 MDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COOL FRONT WORKED THROUGH THE BURN SITE SUNDAY
NIGHT. THIS BROUGHT A SUBTLE SHIFT TOWARDS COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS FOR TODAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL PRODUCING SOME INSTABILITY AND DEEP MIXING. THE
INVERSION WILL BEGIN TO SET UP QUICKLY WITH SUNSET AND PERSIST INTO
MONDAY MORNING. HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES SOME ON MONDAY FOR A
BETTER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION. VIRGA AND OUTFLOW WINDS ARE
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THOSE BUILDUPS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED BUILDUPS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON PRODUCING MORE ERRATIC WINDS THAN RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-5MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH.
                    GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON BUILDUPS OR
                    VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATTOX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.BUCKE.01/GJT



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