Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 211513
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Yellow Top...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1013 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1100 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A frontal boundary will push across the area late Tuesday and
Wednesday, bringing a chance for some modest rainfall. This will be
followed by brief drying, before another frontal system brings
additional chances for rain and thunderstorms heading into next
weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent)...then becoming
                    sunny (0-10 percent)...then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL...increasing to 2900-4400 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 2 mph...increasing to southeast 12
                    to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (600-46200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2...increasing to 34.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........23000...decreasing to 4500 in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....9.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.84.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  71  70  72  73  75  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  61  63  65  66  66  64
Dewpoint........46  47  47  48  48  49  48
RH..............64  59  56  54  54  55  56
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.4 3.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  13  13  12  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............37  32  35  35  35  35  30
VRate kt-ft/100027  34  41  43  45  46  37
Ceiling (hft)...50  50  50  45  45  45  45
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Sfc pres (in)...894 893 891 889 887 884 884

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening...then a chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Showers likely
                    after midnight. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL...decreasing to 700-1000 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3300-27900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................5.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........3500...decreasing to less than 100.
Visibility (SM).....5...decreasing to 1.50 after midnight.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.75.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80  82  86  90  94  94  94  94  95  97  99  98
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  60  58  57  56  55  54  53  53  52  52  51
Dewpoint........47  46  47  47  47  47  48  48  48  48  49  49
RH..............59  61  65  69  72  76  79  82  85  87  90  92
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.2 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  9   7   6   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   7
ADI.............7   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2
VRate kt-ft/100028  20  16  11  6   5   4   3   3   4   4   3
Ceiling (hft)...45  40  40  40  35  35  25  24  24  17  10  0.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   5   3   2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5
Sfc pres (in)...883 883 883 883 883 882 880 879 878 877 875 875

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog early in
                    the morning. Showers likely early in the
                    morning. A chance of showers in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph...becoming southeast 3 to
                    8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................7...increasing to 13 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........Less than 100.
Visibility (SM).....1.50 early in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.69.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  95  96  97  98  96  93  91  91  91  91  89
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  49  52  55  57  59  60  61  62  62  61  59
Dewpoint........49  49  49  50  51  51  51  52  53  53  54  53
RH..............95  98  91  85  81  74  73  72  72  74  77  81
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   S   S   SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5       5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   5
LVORI...........8   9   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............3   4   5   10  14  16  16  14  12  10  10  11
VRate kt-ft/10003   2   4   7   10  11  11  11  9   7   7   8
Ceiling (hft)...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Visibility (sm).1.5
Sfc pres (in)...875 875 876 877 877 876 875 874 872 871 869 870

$$
Forecaster...Rodney Hinson
Requested by...Michele Jones
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1702560.0/GSP


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