Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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931
FNUS73 KILX 161441
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for CCFPD RxFire Savanna N...Champaign County Forest Preserve
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
841 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-4029 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will move through the area today, bringing the return of
southwesterly winds and well above normal temperatures. The weather
overall will be quiet, but the more favorable vent rates will be
limited to the afternoon hours when the mixing heights are at a
maximum. However, the afternoon will also be increased gust potential
from 15 to 22 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon and gusting to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph increasing to 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (800-41500 knot-ft).
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (800-41500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........35     37     36     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............41     49     51     45
RH..............56     48     50     68
20 ft wind......S 7    S 9    S 10   S 7
20 ft wind gust.15     15     20     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   2300   2000   900
Transport wind..S 10   S 17   S 23   S 14
Haines index....3      3      4      4
VRate kt-ft/100018     35     40     11
SDspl kt-ft/100018     35     40     11

$$
Forecaster...HJS
Requested by...Jacob Pruiett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702246.0/ILX
.EMAIL jpruiett@ccfpd.org



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