Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 170112
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for XSB January Storms...CAL FIRE
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
512 PM PST Tue Jan 16 2018

Forecast is based on incident time of 0800 PST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure will briefly build over the
region Wednesday. This combined with weak offshore flow will bring
minor warming and drying. Increasing west to northwesterly flow
will bring some cooling Thursday with a chance of low clouds and
fog during the morning hours. A weakening cold front is expected
to push through the region Friday, bringing a slight chance of
light showers. Rain totals, if any, will likely be a tenth of an
inch or less. The larger impact could be the winds with gusty
northerly winds likely reaching the hills above Montecito, with
a 30 percent chance of gusty winds of around 45 mph or greater
late Friday night. Gusty northerly winds in the city of Montecito
itself could reach up to around 30 mph.

Travel to and from Montecito may be impacted beginning Friday.
Travel over the coastal waters may become hazardous due to choppy
seas from both winds and building swell. Additionally, travel may
become hazardous through the I-5 corridor by Friday evening due
to possibly icy/snowy driving conditions above 3000 feet and gusty
northerly winds. Air travel may also be impacted due to low level
wind shear and turbulence caused by the potentially gusty
northerly winds late Friday into Saturday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Surface winds.......Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming southwest
                    6 to 9 mph in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    variable 2 to 4 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny, becoming partly cloudy late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Surface winds.......Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming southwest 6 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MUNROE/GOMBERG
Requested by...Jon Heggie
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1800237.8/LOX
.EMAIL jon.heggie@fire.ca.gov



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