Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 030233
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TANBARK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE ANGELES N.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
733 PM PDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
EASTWARD TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES CENTRAL CALIFORNIA FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
LIGHT ON TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY BOTH NEAR THE
MENTIONED THRESHOLDS FOR THE TANBARK BURNS. ONSHORE GRADIENTS WILL
INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE TROUGH DRAWS CLOSER
TO THE COAST...DEEPENING THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH AND PRODUCING
GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES FOR THE BURN AREA. WINDS WILL INCREASE
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE THAT EYE-LEVEL WINDS INCREASE TO 10 MPH OR MORE
AT THIS TIME.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE TANBARK AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 28-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH WINDS WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING
                    3 TO 5 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...SETH MITCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.TANBA.01/LOX



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