Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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095
FNUS72 KMHX 111229
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FE...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
729 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR FOR THE
WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY AND
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33     38     41     41
RH..................36     29     27     29
20 FT WIND..........NW 9   W 10   W 9    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     15     15
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................44     44     44     61
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      6      17     47
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36     32     30     29     27     26
RH..................37     47     53     59     62     64
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 4   N 4    N 4    N 4    NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............2      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.................6      5      5      3      3      5
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4      3      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............76     86     90     94     94     89
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   SNOW   RNSN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................25     26     32     35     37     37
RH..................70     71     63     64     64     67
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....
LVORI...............3      3      2      2      2      3
ADI.................7      10     13     16     20     22
HAINES INDEX........2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MANGUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.FE___.01/MHX



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