Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 261011
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLINGSWORTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
611 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TODAY AND CROSS THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
OVER THE WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND
MOVE OFFSHORE TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 25 TO
                    32 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............88     74     63     60
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................70     72     75     75
RH..................79     73     68     65
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 11   S 12   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     15
LVORI...............4      3      1      1
ADI.................51     82     104    84
HAINES INDEX........3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 13
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............56     53     63     75     85     89
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC
TEMP................73     69     67     65     64     63
RH..................70     76     81     87     90     97
20 FT WIND..........S 11   S 10   S 10   S 10   SW 9   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     10
LVORI...............3      3      3      4      5      6
ADI.................57     23     17     14     13     12
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............93     99     99     99     99     95
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     63     65     58     53     49
RH..................99     100    78     82     83     89
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 7   W 5    NW 5   N 8    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15                   15     15
LVORI...............8      7      4      4      4      4
ADI.................10     11     14     25     37     40
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...CROATAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.HOLLI.01/MHX



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