Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 211511
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Rx Fire Gardner Cobb Marsh...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1011 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure north of the area will keep surface winds out of the
east to southeast around 8 to 10 mph into the afternoon. High clouds
will continue to push eastward across the region, producing partly
sunny to mostly cloudy conditions. No low RH concerns expected, with
good to very good dispersion values forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny to mostly cloudy (55-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3300-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....31 increasing to 62.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  54  67  67  67  67  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  78  81  81  81  79  77
RH..............57  52  46  46  46  49  52
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  17  17
Dispersion idx..31  42  51  59  64  64  63
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph decreasing to 5 to 9 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....59 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........67     68     68     68     78     78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............74     70     67     66     65     64
RH..............59     71     81     84     90     93
20 ft wind......E 9    SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..SE 17  SE 8   SE 7   SE 7   SE 5   SE 9
Dispersion idx..59     6      4      4      3      6
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL increasing to 1800-3100 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 17 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 27 early in the morning
                    increasing to 47 late in the morning increasing
                    to 57 decreasing to 39 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 23.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........78        87        87        92
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10        80        80        80
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............64        69        73        71
RH..............94        81        71        73
20 FT wind......E 6       SE 9G10   SE 12     SE 8G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       2300      2800      3100
Transport wind..SE 9      SE 16     SE 18     S 16
Dispersion idx..6         47        57        39
LVORI...........7         3         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...A. Riddick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702561.0/MLB
.EMAIL ariddick@sfwmd.gov


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