Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 300937
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE DORR SE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
537 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENTUALLY CROSS THE BURN SITE INTO TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY. LIGHTER SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF
THE WEST-NORTHWEST WILL LEAD TO LOWER DISPERSION VALUES TODAY. NO
RH CONCERNS EXPECTED. PATCHY FOG FORMATION LESS LIKELY INTO
TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............72  76  78  80  82  81  81  81  78  75  72  71
RH..............73  66  60  52  47  49  49  47  54  62  71  73
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5                       5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.LAKED.02/MLB






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