Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 121456 AAA
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 373 377 378...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
856 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DISPERSION INDICES UP TO 52 CAN BE EXPECTED LATER TODAY...

...WIND GUSTS GENERALLY FROM 13 TO 18 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AND PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY.
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS TODAY
BUT DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA ON
SATURDAY...HOWEVER OTHER CRITERIA ARE TOO MARGINAL AT THIS TIME FOR
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES TO BETWEEN 1 AND 3 MILES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING B LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........46     43     35     30     30
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............52     60     68     72     69
RH................86     67     51     42     42
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      WNW    WNW    NW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      7      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......500    1700   2900   2900   3100
MIX HGT (M).......150    520    880    880    940
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      WNW    WNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      12     16     16     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      5      7      7      5
DISPERSION........7      26     52     52     42
LVORI.............7      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 15 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........34     30     28     24     17     8
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............62     55     50     47     44     41
RH................50     59     66     68     70     73
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     NNW    N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2200   2200   1600   1400   1400   1400
MIX HGT (M).......670    670    490    430    430    430
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NNW    N      N      N      NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     17     17     15     15     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      8      7      7      8
DISPERSION........9      9      7      7      7      9
LVORI.............3      3      3      3      3      4
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 13 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........3      3      4      4      4      4
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............38     37     43     48     51     52
RH................76     64     43     33     27     27
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      6      6      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1400   1400   2000   2600   2600   2600
MIX HGT (M).......430    430    610    790    790    790
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     16     16     13     13     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      7      6      6      4
DISPERSION........26     26     39     40     40     33
LVORI.............3      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160212.CHICK.01/MOB



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