Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 170833
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH SCHAAWE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
433 AM EDT THU JUL 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER MICHIGAN WILL SEE A STAGNANT PATTERN
LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES AND A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TRACK ACROSS
SOUTHERN CANADA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW AND GRADUALLY WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL ALSO GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THIS TIME. EXPECT DRY
CONDITIONS UNTIL AT LEAST MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTH 5
                    TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (82) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (363).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1900 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 700-2100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........10     12     14     21     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     67     68     69     68
RH..............66     52     53     53     55
GENERAL WIND....W 4    SW 6   S 7    S 7    S 7
GENERAL GUST....6      10     13     13     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.82     176    355    314    165
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 7    SW 9   SW 12  SW 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2900   4400   3100   1400
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 22 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........34     28     22     16     15     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     63     60     58     57     55
RH..............58     67     75     79     85     92
GENERAL WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
GENERAL GUST....10     10     9      7      7      7
VINDX KT-FT/100.33     19     33     38     35     5
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  W 15   W 15   W 17   W 16   W 15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    100    300    300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (488) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (845) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4400-5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........12     15     20     27     27     26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     68     75     76     77     76
RH..............83     63     49     44     44     48
GENERAL WIND....SW 6   SW 6   S 9    S 11   S 11   S 10
GENERAL GUST....10     10     17     20     20     18
VINDX KT-FT/100.33     336    567    686    830    704
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 14  SW 14  S 15   S 16   SW 18
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2800   4700   5300   5900   4400
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...MICHELS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140717.SOUTH.01/MQT






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