Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 271109
FWSOKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUILDING COLLAPSE...NYCEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
709 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1705 EDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STEADY RAIN WILL COME TO AND END EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES WELL OFFSHORE. SNOW SHOWERS OR A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-4800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 24 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 TO
                    14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 100 99  98  97  97  95  90  88  86  81  78
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  43  41  42  42  42  44  46  48  48  46  45
RH..................82  76  76  76  73  70  65  60  56  56  60  62
20 FT WIND DIR......340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340
20 FT WIND SPD......10  9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
SURFACE WND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
SURFACE WND SPD.....12  11  11  10  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6
SURFACE WND GST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
CWR.................100 100 60  60  60  30  30  30  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............77  74  73  74  75  77  78  79  80  81  84  86
WEATHER COV.........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                            RS  RS  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  43  42  41  40  39  39  38  37  36  35  35
RH..................62  65  67  70  73  73  73  76  75  75  75  75
20 FT WIND DIR......340 340 340 340 340 340 350 350 350 350 340 340
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  25  25  25  25
SURFACE WND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
SURFACE WND SPD.....6   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  11  12  12  12
SURFACE WND GST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  25  25  25  25
CWR.................10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7200-7900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH...DECREASING TO 16 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  91  92  91  88  85  82  79  78  77  74  71
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  RW  RW  RW  RW  SW  SW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  33  32  32  33  36  40  41  41  39  36
RH..................75  75  72  75  72  69  61  50  48  46  48  52
20 FT WIND DIR......340 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 320 320
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  11  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  30
SURFACE WND DIR.....N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
SURFACE WND SPD.....13  13  13  12  12  12  11  11  11  12  14  15
SURFACE WND GST.....25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  30
CWR.................30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

$$
FORECASTER...NV
REQUESTED BY...BEN KRAKAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.BUILD.01/OKX



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