Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS71 KPBZ 251912
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CREEK FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
312 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1503 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
APPROXIMATELY ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN IS FORECAST...ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORMS COULD POTENTIALLY BRING LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN ON
WEDNESDAY...THURSDAY...AND FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............11  9   7   15  24  32  40  48  57  59  62  65
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  61  56  53  51  51  51  51  52  52  51  51
RH..................66  73  86  95  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10      10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  70  72  74  76  78  81  83  85  87  90  93
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                                        LKY CHC
TEMP................51  52  54  56  60  63  66  68  69  69  68  66
RH..................100 100 96  89  88  81  74  70  69  70  73  79
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............94  95  97  95  93  91  82  73  64  61  57  54
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............CHC CHC
TEMP................63  61  59  58  57  56  54  52  51  50  49  48
RH..................83  87  91  93  95  97  94  92  90  91  91  91
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............49     39     32     26     21     20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48     48     51     56     60     62
RH..................90     84     76     61     47     44
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 6    W 6    W 7    W 7    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...TG
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160925.REDCR.02/PBZ


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