Suppression Forecast
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FNUS71 KPBZ 211248
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for SGL 095...PA Game commission
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
748 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...

A weak system will pass the region late today with a chance of
some showers, however warm conditions will continue through the
week.  RH values should remain above 50 percent, but watch for
increasing southerly winds later this morning and this
afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  63  63  63  64  64  68  72  76  80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  45  48  52  54  57  58  60  62  61
RH..............63  60  57  55  55  54  53  52  51  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable...then
                    becoming southwest around 5 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......300-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph...decreasing to 3 to 5 mph
                    late in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........84  88  87  86  86  85  84  83  82  82  81  80
Weather cov.....    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  50  50  49  48
RH..............59  65  71  75  79  81  83  85  87  89  91  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   3   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  10  9   7   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   3
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph...becoming light and
                    variable.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2600-3700 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3...or very low.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  79  76  73  70  67  63  60  60  59  59  58
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  49  50  53  55  57  59  61  62  64  64  62
RH..............94  92  89  84  79  75  72  70  65  62  62  65
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5                   10  10  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.7 3.6 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   8   10  12  13  14  14  14  13  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...CL
Requested by...Robert Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702539.0/PBZ
.EMAIL shopper@pa.gov



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