Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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000
FNUS75 KSLC 310118
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOX CANYON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
718 PM MDT SAT JUL 30 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM MDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE INCREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE THIS AFTERNOON WILL
CONTINUE ON A GRADUAL UPWARD TREND ACROSS NORTHEAST UTAH THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD RETURN TO THE
FIRE SITE MAINLY BETWEEN 2300 AND 0300. THIS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY
GENERATE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MEASURABLE RAIN AND GUSTY STORM-RELATED
WINDS.

A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THE FIRE SITE
DURING THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE
LOOK FOR EARLY CONVECTIVE CLOUD DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE PASSING
WEATHER DISTURBANCE...WITH WETTING RAINS AND GUSTY/ERRATIC
WINDS LIKELY.

MODESTLY DRIER AIR WILL WORK ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY...WITH MOISTURE WORKING BACK INTO THE REGION BEGINNING TUESDAY.
THOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BE DRYING OUT A BIT...STILL LOOKING AT
TERRAIN-BASED SHOWERS/STORMS FORMING LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
EVENING.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                      2200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT CLOUD
                      COVER. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                      THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 2300.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-53.
  MAX HUMIDITY........85-87 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH. WINDS BECOMING
                      WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2300. GUSTY
                      AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS.

.SUNDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                      UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER) WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
  MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                      ERRATIC WINDS IN PRECIPITATION.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........6 ..HIGH.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                      THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                      ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
  MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                      ERRATIC WINDS IN PRECIPITATION.



FORECASTER...CONGER
REQUESTED BY...BRAD WASHA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160730.BOXCA.01/SLC

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