Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FNUS74 KTSA 191653
FWSTSA

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CHEROKEE PRAIRIE RX...ARKANSAS NATURAL HERITAGE COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 AM CST WED NOV 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 CST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY AND MILD TODAY WITH A WEST WIND AT 10 TO 20 MPH. THE WIND WILL
SUBSIDE TO ROUGHLY 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD END UP IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............49  51  53  54  55  54  51
DEWPT...........25  24  24  25  25  26  28
RH..............40  35  33  33  31  34  40
20FT WIND DIR...W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20FT SPD (MPH)..6   8   7   6   6   5   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  15  15  10  10  10  5
CLOUDS (%)......7   0   4   10  13  14  15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..028 037 043 046 045 042 036
TR WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TR WIND SPD(MPH)21  21  20  18  16  15  14
STABILITY.......B   B   B   B   C   C   D
1700FT MIX T (F)43  47  50  51  52  51  49
VENT/1000(M^3/S)008 011 012 011 010 009 007

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 1 TO
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............29  29  30  35  40  44  48  51  52  53  53  51
DEWPT...........26  27  28  28  29  30  31  31  32  32  33  35
RH..............86  91  89  77  65  57  51  47  45  45  48  53
20FT WIND DIR...E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20FT SPD (MPH)..2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..5   5   5   5   5       10  10          5   5
CLOUDS (%)......33  33  33  33  33  33  68  68  68  68  68  68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..001 001 001 004 010 018 025 029 030 030 029 027
TR WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TR WIND SPD(MPH)6   6   6   7   8   10  13  13  12  12  13  14
STABILITY.......F   D   D   C   C   B   B   B   B   C   C   D
1700FT MIX T (F)49  49  49  49  48  42  45  48  49  50  49  48
VENT/1000(M^3/S)000 000 000 000 001 002 004 005 005 005 005 005

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LACY
REQUESTED BY...JOE WOOLBRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141119.CHERO.01/TSA






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