High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 270911
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.7N 122.5W 974 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 27
MOVING WNW OR 850 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE
QUADRANT...170 SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 160 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...500
NM SE QUADRANT 270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 480 NM
SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN KARINA SECTION BELOW REMAINDER N OF 09N
BETWEEN 107 AND 120W AND N OF 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.8N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
470 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 270 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA N
OF 13N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W AND N OF 18N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LOW MARIE NEAR 27.0N 130.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. GALE FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA OF 20N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 29.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 29.8N
134.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 29.2N
135.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA NEAR 14.5N 126.7W 1005 MB AT 0600
UTC AUG 27 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH MARIE...WITHIN 120
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATES.

.LOW PRES...REMNANT OF LOWELL...NEAR 28N137W 1008 MB. OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES W OF AREA. N OF 20N W OF 135W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN W SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH MARIE SECTION ABOVE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N WITHIN 120 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED AUG 27...

.HURRICANE MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 18N TO 24N
BETWEEN 120W AND 124W.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 129W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N95W TO TO 11N109W.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 200 NM OF COAST
FROM 06N TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO
13N BETWEEN 116W TO 122W

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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