River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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086
FGUS51 KTAR 251648
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1147 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.60 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.2/     5.1
.E2 :0226:/     4.6/     4.3/     4.1/     4.0
.E3 :0227:/     4.0/     3.9/     3.9/     3.9
.E4 :0228:/     3.9/     3.9
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.70 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.8
.E2 :0226:/     4.6/     4.4/     4.2/     4.0
.E3 :0227:/     3.8/     3.5/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :0228:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.96 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:Crest 6.58 at Feb-27802 1am
:
.ER RAPN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.5
.E2 :0226:/     4.1/     4.8/     5.7/     6.3
.E3 :0227:/     6.6/     6.6/     6.4/     6.1
.E4 :0228:/     5.8/     5.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.62 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.6
.E2 :0226:/     4.5/     4.2/     4.0/     4.0
.E3 :0227:/     3.8/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E4 :0228:/     3.5/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.38/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.60 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     2.6/     3.5
.E2 :0226:/     3.0/     2.7/     2.4/     2.2
.E3 :0227:/     2.1/     1.9/     1.9/     1.7
.E4 :0228:/     1.6/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.20 ft at Feb-25 11:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     5.2/     6.3
.E2 :0226:/     5.3/     5.1/     5.0/     4.9
.E3 :0227:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.7/     4.6
.E4 :0228:/     4.6/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.62 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     5.1/     6.5
.E2 :0226:/     5.3/     5.2/     4.8/     4.5
.E3 :0227:/     4.2/     4.0/     3.9/     3.7
.E4 :0228:/     3.6/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.34/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.71 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.2/     3.7
.E2 :0226:/     3.1/     3.3/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :0227:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0
.E4 :0228:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.33 ft at Feb-25 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     5.4/     6.5
.E2 :0226:/     6.7/     6.5/     6.3/     6.2
.E3 :0227:/     6.1/     6.1/     6.0/     6.0
.E4 :0228:/     5.9/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.51/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.88 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/    10.8/    11.9
.E2 :0226:/    11.9/    12.1/    12.0/    11.8
.E3 :0227:/    11.6/    11.4/    11.3/    11.3
.E4 :0228:/    11.2/    11.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.44/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 607.21 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:Crest 621.20 at Feb-27802 7pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/   607.3/   607.3
.E2 :0226:/   609.8/   613.5/   616.4/   618.6
.E3 :0227:/   620.1/   620.8/   621.1/   621.2
.E4 :0228:/   621.1/   620.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.38/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 25.04 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/    25.4/    25.6
.E2 :0226:/    25.9/    26.3/    26.7/    26.9
.E3 :0227:/    26.9/    26.7/    26.5/    26.4
.E4 :0228:/    26.2/    26.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.37/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.86 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.4
.E2 :0226:/     4.6/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :0227:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4
.E4 :0228:/     4.4/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.36/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:
.ER CHRN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.9
.E2 :0226:/     3.1/     3.3/     3.5/     3.6
.E3 :0227:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5/     3.4
.E4 :0228:/     3.2/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.37/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.95 ft at Feb-25 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/    10.0/    10.1
.E2 :0226:/    10.3/    10.6/    10.8/    10.9
.E3 :0227:/    10.9/    10.8/    10.7/    10.6
.E4 :0228:/    10.4/    10.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.38/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.54 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.7
.E2 :0226:/     2.0/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E3 :0227:/     1.9/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :0228:/     1.6/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.38/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 688.06 ft at Feb-25 11:15 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/   688.0/   688.1
.E2 :0226:/   688.1/   688.2/   688.2/   688.2
.E3 :0227:/   688.2/   688.2/   688.2/   688.2
.E4 :0228:/   688.2/   688.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.37/ 0.25/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.78 ft at Feb-25 11:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.7
.E2 :0226:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0227:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :0228:/     4.7/     4.7
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.41 ft at Feb-25 11:00 am
:Crest 10.54 at Feb-26802 1pm
:
.ER BOON6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     7.5/     9.6
.E2 :0226:/    10.2/    10.4/    10.5/    10.5
.E3 :0227:/    10.1/     9.7/     9.3/     9.0
.E4 :0228:/     8.7/     8.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 1.17/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: BOON6 Above minor flood stage at 2017-02-26 01:00:00
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.86 ft at Feb-25 11:30 am
:Crest 12.01 at Feb-26802 7am
:
.ER MCKN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     6.9/     8.7
.E2 :0226:/    11.0/    12.0/    11.3/    11.2
.E3 :0227:/    10.9/    10.4/     9.9/     9.4
.E4 :0228:/     8.9/     8.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 1.00/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: MCKN6 Above minor flood stage at 2017-02-26 07:00:00
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.79 ft at Feb-25 10:30 am
:Crest 11.66 at Feb-28802 1pm
:
.ER ARTN6 20170225 E DC201702251147/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0225:       ::       ::/     7.1/     7.8
.E2 :0226:/     8.6/     9.4/    10.1/    10.2
.E3 :0227:/    10.0/    10.0/    10.3/    10.7
.E4 :0228:/    11.2/    11.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.12/ 0.82/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: ARTN6 Above minor flood stage at 2017-02-26 13:00:00
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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