River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 181316
RVFBVR
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:16am EST Saturday, November 18, 2017

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Leavittsburg - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 871.25 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     24.0 ft
: Major River Stage      15.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   13.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Crest near    9.9 ft around 7PM EST on Sun, Nov 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 16                           /   2.7
:     Nov 17   /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
:     Nov 18   /   2.7 /   2.7 /   3.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.0 ft at 715am EST on Sat, Nov 18
:
.ER LEAO1 20171118 Z DC201711181316/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Nov 18 :                         /   4.0
.E2 : Nov 19 : /   5.8 /   7.1 /   8.6 /   9.7
.E3 : Nov 20 : /   9.9 /   9.4 /   7.5 /   6.0
.E4 : Nov 21 : /   5.5 /   5.7 /   5.4 /   5.2
.E5 : Nov 22 : /   5.0 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.6
.E6 : Nov 23 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /  0.00
:     Nov 16   /  0.13 /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Nov 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Nov 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.74
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 18                           /  0.51
:     Nov 19   /  0.76 /  0.40 /  0.12 /  0.02
:     Nov 20   /  0.04 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /   2.2
:     Nov 16   /   6.1 /   7.2 /   7.0 /   3.8
:     Nov 17   /   3.5 /   3.4 /   2.3 /   3.1
:     Nov 18   /   4.9 /   2.2 /   4.3 /   7.5
:     Nov 19   /  10.8 /   9.1 /   3.8 /   2.0
:     Nov 20   /   1.4 /  -1.3 /  -3.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Warren - Mahoning River - CLE
: Zero Datum 855.66 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Trumbull County, OH
: Record River Stage     21.0 ft
: Major River Stage      12.5 ft
: Moderate River Stage   11.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Crest near    7.9 ft around 7PM EST on Sun, Nov 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 16                           /   2.1E
:     Nov 17   /   2.1E/   2.1E/   2.1E/   2.1E
:     Nov 18   /   2.1E/   2.1E/   2.4E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER WRNO1 20171118 Z DC201711181316/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Nov 18 :                         /   3.4
.E2 : Nov 19 : /   5.7 /   6.1 /   6.6 /   7.5
.E3 : Nov 20 : /   7.9 /   6.9 /   5.9 /   4.7
.E4 : Nov 21 : /   4.3 /   4.5 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E5 : Nov 22 : /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E6 : Nov 23 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /  0.00
:     Nov 16   /  0.11 /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.03
:     Nov 17   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Nov 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.76
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 18                           /  0.45
:     Nov 19   /  0.78 /  0.40 /  0.14 /  0.02
:     Nov 20   /  0.03 /  0.03 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /   2.2
:     Nov 16   /   6.2 /   7.2 /   7.2 /   4.0
:     Nov 17   /   3.6 /   3.3 /   2.3 /   3.3
:     Nov 18   /   5.0 /   2.5 /   4.0 /   7.3
:     Nov 19   /  10.6 /   9.3 /   4.0 /   2.2
:     Nov 20   /   1.6 /  -0.9 /  -2.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Beaver Falls - Beaver River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 727.48 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Beaver County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.4 ft
: Major River Stage      19.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   17.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      15.0 ft
: Action River Stage     12.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 16                           /   5.5
:     Nov 17   /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5
:     Nov 18   /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.6 ft at 715am EST on Sat, Nov 18
:
.ER BEAP1 20171118 Z DC201711181316/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Nov 18 :                         /   5.8
.E2 : Nov 19 : /   6.3 /   7.2 /   8.3 /   9.2
.E3 : Nov 20 : /   9.8 /   9.8 /   9.3 /   9.0
.E4 : Nov 21 : /   8.8 /   8.6 /   8.3 /   7.9
.E5 : Nov 22 : /   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.6 /   7.6
.E6 : Nov 23 : /   7.9 /   7.9 /   7.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /  0.00
:     Nov 16   /  0.04 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Nov 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Nov 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.63
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 18                           /  0.62
:     Nov 19   /  0.49 /  0.40 /  0.15 /  0.01
:     Nov 20   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Nov 15                           /   2.5
:     Nov 16   /   7.3 /   6.9 /   7.3 /   4.8
:     Nov 17   /   3.2 /   2.8 /   2.2 /   2.6
:     Nov 18   /   4.3 /   0.5 /   2.5 /   6.7
:     Nov 19   /  10.2 /  10.8 /   4.8 /   2.4
:     Nov 20   /   1.6 /  -1.4 /  -3.0
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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