River Forecast
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FGUS53 KKRF 270953
RVFKSR

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0951Z Fri May 27 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:                ***  EARLY MORNING FORECAST  ***

:     **********************************************************
:     ***       THIS IS A PRELIMINARY UPDATE TO ADJUST       ***
:     ***       THE FIRST FEW PERIODS OF THE FORECAST.       ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
KANSAS RIVER
  FT RILEY KS            21.0   12.2
  BELVUE KS 4SE          20.0   16.3   CREST NEAR 18.3 FT 05/28 AM
CROSS CREEK
  ROSSVILLE KS           25.0   23.9   CREST NEAR 25.5 FT 05/27 PM
SOLDIER CREEK
  DELIA KS 3E            26.0   28.7   CREST NEAR 29.0 FT 05/27 AM


:__________________________________________________________________

:FT RILEY KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 12.2 FT AT 0930Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526                   /   9.3 /  10.0
:   0527   /  11.2 /  12.1

.ER FTRK1 20160527 Z DC201605270951/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:                /  12.4 /  13.1
.E2  :0528:/  13.7 /  14.7 /  15.5 /  16.2
.E3  :0529:/  16.7 /  16.9 /  16.7 /  16.6
.E4  :0530:/  16.5 /  16.5 /  16.4 /  16.2
.E5  :0531:/  16.0 /  15.6 /  15.1 /  15.0
.E6  :0601:/  14.7 /  14.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526                  /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0527  /  1.06 /  0.92
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.98  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527                  /  0.32 /  0.08
:    0528  /  0.13 /  0.17
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.70  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BELVUE KS 4SE - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 16.3 FT AT 0930Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526                   /  11.2 /  12.3
:   0527   /  14.6 /  16.2

.AR : CREST : BVUK1 20160528 Z DC201605270951/DH06/HGIFFX 18.3
.ER BVUK1 20160527 Z DC201605270951/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:                /  16.6 /  17.7
.E2  :0528:/  18.1 /  18.3 /  17.7 /  16.8
.E3  :0529:/  16.0 /  15.7 /  15.6 /  15.6
.E4  :0530:/  15.6 /  15.7 /  15.6 /  15.5
.E5  :0531:/  15.4 /  15.3 /  15.2 /  15.2
.E6  :0601:/  15.0 /  14.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526                  /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0527  /  0.83 /  0.97
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.80  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527                  /  0.34 /  0.09
:    0528  /  0.16 /  0.17
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.77  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:ROSSVILLE KS - CROSS CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 23.9 FT AT 0930Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526                   /   8.7 /  12.6
:   0527   /  20.1 /  23.8

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/27/2016 AROUND 17Z
.AR : CREST : RSSK1 20160528 Z DC201605270951/DH00/HGIFFX 25.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 02Z
.ER RSSK1 20160527 Z DC201605270951/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:                /  24.4 /  25.1
.E2  :0528:/  25.5 /  24.1 /  22.0 /  20.2
.E3  :0529:/  18.8 /  17.4 /  16.0 /  14.8
.E4  :0530:/  13.8 /  13.0 /  12.3 /  11.9
.E5  :0531:/  11.3 /  10.9 /  10.5 /  10.3
.E6  :0601:/  10.2 /  10.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526                  /  0.06 /  0.00
:    0527  /  1.57 /  0.78
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   2.41  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527                  /  0.44 /  0.10
:    0528  /  0.18 /  0.18
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.91  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DELIA KS 3E - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 28.7 FT AT 0930Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526                   /  10.3 /  20.2
:   0527   /  26.9 /  28.5

.AR : CREST : DELK1 20160527 Z DC201605270951/DH12/HGIFFX 29.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/27/2016 AROUND 21Z
.ER DELK1 20160527 Z DC201605270951/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:                /  29.0 /  27.4
.E2  :0528:/  25.0 /  23.1 /  20.7 /  17.8
.E3  :0529:/  15.4 /  13.8 /  12.6 /  11.7
.E4  :0530:/  10.9 /  10.2 /   9.7 /   9.3
.E5  :0531:/   8.9 /   8.5 /   8.3 /   8.1
.E6  :0601:/   7.9 /   7.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526                  /  0.30 /  0.00
:    0527  /  1.85 /  0.80
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   2.95  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527                  /  0.60 /  0.10
:    0528  /  0.20 /  0.18
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   1.08  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TOP -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: ajm
:...END of MESSAGE...



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