River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS51 KRHA 021459
RVFSUQ
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER, STATE COLLEGE, PA
 959 AM EST MON MAR 02 2015
:
:    River Forecast for Lower Susquehanna Basin
:
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Mansfield - Tioga River
:CS=9.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 0.3 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E MFDP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      0.2/      0.1/      0.2
.E2 :0303:/      0.3/      0.2/      0.1/      0.2
.E3 :0304:/      0.3/      0.2/      0.1/      0.1
.E4 :0305:/      0.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Tioga Junction - Tioga River
:CS=13.0, FS=15.0, Moderate FS=17.0, Major FS=20.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.9 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E TGJP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E2 :0303:/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E3 :0304:/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E4 :0305:/      6.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lawrenceville - Cowanesque River
:CS=11.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=14.0, Major FS=17.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 7.3 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E LWVP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      7.3/      7.3/      7.3
.E2 :0303:/      7.3/      7.3/      7.3/      7.3
.E3 :0304:/      7.3/      7.3/      7.3/      7.3
.E4 :0305:/      7.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Karthaus - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=16.0, FS=19.0, Moderate FS=22.0, Major FS=24.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.9 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E KARP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.9/      1.9/      2.0
.E2 :0303:/      2.0/      2.0/      1.9/      1.9
.E3 :0304:/      2.0/      2.1/      2.2/      2.4
.E4 :0305:/      2.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Sinnemahoning - Sinnemahoning Creek
:CS=13.0, FS=17.0, Moderate FS=19.0, Major FS=21.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.6 FT AT 0945 EST ON 0302
.E SNNP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      2.6/      2.7/      2.6
.E2 :0303:/      2.7/      2.7/      2.6/      2.6
.E3 :0304:/      2.7/      2.7/      2.8/      2.9
.E4 :0305:/      2.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Renovo - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=12.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.6 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E ROVP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.6/      1.5/      1.3
.E2 :0303:/      1.4/      1.6/      1.5/      1.3
.E3 :0304:/      1.3/      1.5/      1.5/      1.6
.E4 :0305:/      1.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lock Haven - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=17.0, FS=21.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 8.7 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E LHVP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      8.7/      8.5/      8.7
.E2 :0303:/      8.7/      8.6/      8.6/      8.7
.E3 :0304:/      8.7/      8.7/      8.6/      8.6
.E4 :0305:/      8.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Beech Creek Station - Bald Eagle Creek
:CS=10.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.9 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E BECP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E2 :0303:/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E3 :0304:/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9/      6.9
.E4 :0305:/      6.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Cedar Run - Pine Creek
:CS=7.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.9 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E CEDP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9
.E2 :0303:/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9/      1.9
.E3 :0304:/      1.9/      1.9/      1.8/      1.8
.E4 :0305:/      1.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Jersey Shore - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=23.0, FS=26.0, Moderate FS=28.0, Major FS=29.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 5.0 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E JRSP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      5.0/      4.9/      4.7
.E2 :0303:/      4.7/      4.8/      4.9/      4.7
.E3 :0304:/      4.6/      4.7/      4.9/      4.8
.E4 :0305:/      4.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Williamsport - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=10.0, FS=20.0, Moderate FS=21.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.3 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E WILP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.3/      1.3/      1.4
.E2 :0303:/      1.3/      1.3/      1.4/      1.4
.E3 :0304:/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3/      1.4
.E4 :0305:/      1.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Loyalsockville - Loyalsock Creek
:CS=9.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.4 FT AT 0931 EST ON 0302
.E LOYP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.4/      1.3/      1.3
.E2 :0303:/      1.4/      1.4/      1.3/      1.3
.E3 :0304:/      1.4/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E4 :0305:/      1.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Milton - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=16.0, FS=19.0, Moderate FS=22.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.9 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E ILTP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.8/      1.8/      1.9
.E2 :0303:/      2.1/      2.0/      1.9/      1.7
.E3 :0304:/      1.8/      1.9/      1.9/      1.8
.E4 :0305:/      1.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lewisburg - West Branch Susquehanna River
:CS=14.0, FS=18.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=28.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.0 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0302
.E LWBP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      2.9/      2.8/      2.8
.E2 :0303:/      2.8/      2.9/      3.0/      3.0
.E3 :0304:/      2.9/      2.7/      2.8/      2.9
.E4 :0305:/      3.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Williamsburg - Frankstown Br. Juniata River
:CS=9.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.8 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E WIBP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8
.E2 :0303:/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8/      3.2
.E3 :0304:/      4.2/      4.9/      5.1/      5.2
.E4 :0305:/      5.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Spruce Creek - Little Juniata River
:CS=6.0, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.0 FT AT 0931 EST ON 0302
.E SPKP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0
.E2 :0303:/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0
.E3 :0304:/      2.0/      2.3/      2.3/      2.5
.E4 :0305:/      2.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Huntingdon - Juniata River
:CS=9.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E HUJP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E2 :0303:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E3 :0304:/      1.8/      2.3/      2.8/      3.2
.E4 :0305:/      3.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Saxton - Raystown Br. Juniata River
:CS=14.0, FS=17.0, Moderate FS=19.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E SXTP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E2 :0303:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.8/      2.3
.E3 :0304:/      3.0/      3.9/      4.4/      4.7
.E4 :0305:/      4.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Mapleton Depot - Juniata River
:CS=15.0, FS=20.0, Moderate FS=24.0, Major FS=26.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.0 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E MPLP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.0/      3.1/      3.1
.E2 :0303:/      3.1/      3.1/      3.1/      3.1
.E3 :0304:/      3.3/      3.5/      3.9/      4.3
.E4 :0305:/      4.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Shirleysburg - Aughwick Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=20.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.2 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E SLYP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E2 :0303:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3/      3.4
.E3 :0304:/      3.7/      4.3/      4.7/      5.1
.E4 :0305:/      5.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lewistown - Juniata River
:CS=18.0, FS=23.0, Moderate FS=27.0, Major FS=28.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.7 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E LWSP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7
.E2 :0303:/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7/      3.7
.E3 :0304:/      3.8/      4.0/      4.1/      4.3
.E4 :0305:/      4.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Newport - Juniata River
:CS=17.0, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=25.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.6 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E NPTP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      4.6/      4.6/      4.5
.E2 :0303:/      4.6/      4.6/      4.6/      4.4
.E3 :0304:/      4.5/      4.5/      4.5/      4.4
.E4 :0305:/      4.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Bloomsburg - Susquehanna River
:CS=16.0, FS=19.0, Moderate FS=22.0, Major FS=28.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.0 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E BMBP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.9/      2.1/      2.0
.E2 :0303:/      1.8/      1.9/      2.0/      2.0
.E3 :0304:/      1.8/      1.8/      1.9/      2.0
.E4 :0305:/      1.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Danville - Susquehanna River
:CS=15.0, FS=20.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.7 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E DANP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.7/      3.7/      3.8
.E2 :0303:/      3.8/      3.7/      3.7/      3.8
.E3 :0304:/      3.8/      3.7/      3.6/      3.6
.E4 :0305:/      3.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Sunbury - Susquehanna River
:CS=20.0, FS=24.0, Moderate FS=26.0, Major FS=34.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 7.1 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0302
.E SBYP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      7.1/      7.2/      7.0
.E2 :0303:/      7.0/      7.2/      7.1/      6.9
.E3 :0304:/      7.0/      7.1/      7.1/      7.0
.E4 :0305:/      7.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Penns Creek - Penns Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=12.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.5 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E PNCP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      2.5/      2.4/      2.4
.E2 :0303:/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4
.E3 :0304:/      2.4/      2.4/      2.3/      2.3
.E4 :0305:/      2.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Shermans Dale - Sherman Creek
:CS=5.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=11.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.5 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E SMDP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.5/      1.4/      1.5
.E2 :0303:/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4
.E3 :0304:/      1.5/      1.6/      2.0/      2.2
.E4 :0305:/      2.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Hogestown - Conodoguinet Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=12.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.4 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E HGSP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4
.E2 :0303:/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4
.E3 :0304:/      1.6/      1.8/      2.2/      2.7
.E4 :0305:/      3.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Harrisburg - Susquehanna River
:CS=11.0, FS=17.0, Moderate FS=20.0, Major FS=23.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.1 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0302
.E HARP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      4.1/      4.0/      4.2
.E2 :0303:/      4.2/      4.1/      4.0/      4.0
.E3 :0304:/      4.0/      4.1/      4.1/      4.1
.E4 :0305:/      4.1
.E HARP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH19/QRIFF/DID1
:Fcst at 7AM on 0303      0304      0305
.E1       /      8.5/      8.4/      8.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Camp Hill - Yellow Breeches Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=7.0, Moderate FS=9.0, Major FS=13.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.1 FT AT 0945 EST ON 0302
.E CPHP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.0/      1.0/      1.0
.E2 :0303:/      1.0/      1.0/      1.0/      1.0
.E3 :0304:/      1.0/      1.1/      1.4/      1.6
.E4 :0305:/      1.7
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Harper Tavern - Swatara Creek
:CS=7.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 0.5 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E HTVP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      0.6/      0.5/      0.5
.E2 :0303:/      0.5/      0.5/      0.5/      0.5
.E3 :0304:/      0.5/      0.5/      0.7/      1.0
.E4 :0305:/      1.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Hershey - Swatara Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=7.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.7 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0302
.E HERP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E2 :0303:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E3 :0304:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7/      1.8
.E4 :0305:/      2.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Middletown - Swatara Creek
:CS=10.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=15.0, Major FS=18.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0302
.E MTLP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E2 :0303:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.2/      3.2
.E3 :0304:/      3.2/      3.2/      3.2/      3.2
.E4 :0305:/      3.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Marietta - Susquehanna River
:CS=44.0, FS=49.0, Moderate FS=52.0, Major FS=54.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 33.9 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E MRTP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/     33.9/     33.8/     33.9
.E2 :0303:/     33.9/     33.9/     33.8/     33.8
.E3 :0304:/     33.7/     33.8/     34.0/     34.1
.E4 :0305:/     34.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lancaster - Conestoga River
:CS=9.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.3 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0302
.E LNCP1 0302 E DC1503020958/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0302: :       :/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E2 :0303:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E3 :0304:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.5/      3.8
.E4 :0305:/      3.9
:********************************************************************
COMMENT

THE TERM "ICE EFFECTS" MEANS THAT RIVER ICE ACCUMULATION IN THE
VICINITY OF THE RIVER GAGE IS ALTERING THE CHANNEL CROSS-SECTION (IN
ADDITION TO INCREASING FRICTION) WHICH PRODUCES HIGHER STAGES THAN
WOULD BE EXPECTED WITHOUT THE RIVER ICE.  THE RELATIONSHIP (RATING)
BETWEEN RIVER FLOW AND GAGE HEIGHT IS NO LONGER VALID.  A STRETCH OF
RIVER DOES NOT HAVE TO BE ICE COVERED TO EXHIBIT ICE EFFECTS.  ICE CAN
FORM ALONG THE SURFACE IN SLOW MOVING SECTIONS, ALONG THE BANKS AND
SIDES OF THE CHANNEL, AND ALSO ON THE CHANNEL BOTTOM (ANCHOR ICE).
ABRUPT FLUCTUATIONS OF SEVERAL FEET ARE QUITE COMMON AND SHOULD BE
EXPECTED DURING EXTENDED COLD SPELLS.


$$
MARFC
:...END of MESSAGE...
NNNN



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