Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
539 FNUS28 KWNS 042036 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0334 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An active fire weather pattern remains on track through at least midweek across the southern Rockies extending eastward into the southern High Plains. ... Monday/Day 3 to Wednesday Day 5: New Mexico into adjacent parts of Texas and Colorado ... A strong, negatively tilted trough will eject into the Plains during the day on Monday. In its wake, strong mid-level flow will exist across New Mexico into the central Plains. The orientation of this flow will result in strong downslope flow across the region. The result will be surface winds approaching 30 mph in the presence of relative humidity beneath 15 percent. Extremely critical meteorological conditions will be possible across northeast New Mexico; fuel receptiveness will be the limiting factor for fire potential. By Tuesday into Wednesday, strong westerly mid-level flow will persist atop a dry boundary layer. This will continue the downslope flow, with winds around 20 mph. Relative Humidity will continue to fall into the single digits and teens resulting in continued fire weather concerns. Toward the latter half of the week, the mid-level flow will relax a bit. Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible, but confidence in critical conditions being met is less than in previous days. Trends will need to monitored as mesoscale details come more into focus. ..Marsh.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$