000
FXUS64 KMRX 181844
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
244 PM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY)...MUCH QUIETER AS WEATHER
SYSTEM COMES TO AN END. WILL CARRY SLGT CHC / CHC POPS OVER THE
EAST ONLY THIS EVENING...THEN INTRODUCE SLGT CHC POPS OVER THE
PLATEAU AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A SECONDARY FRONT COMES INTO THE PICTURE.
SLGT CHC POPS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS SW VA INTO WEDNESDAY...AND
AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS IS POSSIBLE THOUGH
MORE LIKELY ON THE NC SIDE. AFTER SOME PATCHY MORNING FOG BURNS
OFF...EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MORE SUN FOR WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE REGION EARLY ON AND PERSIST FOR MUCH OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEFORE BEGINNING TO FLATTEN OUT LATE. WITH
WEAK FLOW AND NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA
SHOULD SEE FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH DAY. GFS MOS
TEMPS GENERALLY LOOK REASONABLE...SO WILL MAKE ONLY SOME MINOR
TWEAKS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             65  88  64  89  67 /  20  10  10  20  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  62  86  63  87  66 /  20  10  10  20  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       62  86  62  88  65 /  10  10  10  20  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              58  82  57  84  60 /  20  10  10  20  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

$$

GC/LW