000
FXUS64 KMRX 140829
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
429 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...CLEAR SKIES AND FALLING DEW
POINT TEMPS NOTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS AND THE FALLING DEW POINT TEMPS...HAVE INHIBITED FOG
DEVELOPMENT THUS FAR. MOS MAX TEMPS QUITE CLOSE AND GENERALLY IN
LINE WITH PREVIOUS GRIDS...WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE TO REACH AS WARM AS
MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS SRN AREAS.

MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AS THE SURFACE RIDGE SETTLES
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN APPALACHIANS. THIS SCENARIO FAVORS PATCHY
AREAS OF FOG...ESPECIALLY FOR FAVORED SPOTS SUCH AS TRI AND RHP.
SIMILAR MOS MINS WERE VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS MIN TEMP GRID...AND
QUITE PLEASANT FOR MID JUNE FROM AROUND 50 TO LOWER 60S.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WITH
DRIER AIR MASS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL SATURDAY.
RIDGING ALOFT STRENGTHENS OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER SOUTH AND MUCH WARMER NORTH AS RIDGE
STRENGTHENS. FLOW STILL OUT OF THE NW SATURDAY AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST ALLOWING
FOR MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE THE TN VALLEY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AS WEAK TROUGH IN THE NEAR ZONAL
FLOW. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE MONDAY TO LIKELY AND CONTINUE TUESDAY
AHEAD OF NEXT SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT SHOULD SHIFT
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS
DRY AS FRONT STAYS SOUTH OF THE REGION. THE FRONT THEN BECOMES
STATIONARY BY THURSDAY WITH MOISTURE RETURNING BACK NORTH DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY SO ADDED SLIGHT TO CHANCE POPS ON THURSDAY.
WARMEST TEMPERATURES SUNDAY. LOWERED TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY A FEW DEGREES WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED AND MORE
CLOUD COVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             87  62  89  67  90 /   0   0   0  10  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  83  60  88  65  89 /   0   0   0  10  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       84  59  88  64  88 /   0   0   0  10  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              80  52  85  59  86 /   0   0   0  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

$$

TD/TG