Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 220728
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will continue today with chances for showers
and storms increasing later tonight into Monday. A few scattered
showers will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday. However, the main
story will be the cooler air that will arrive behind the front for
the middle through the end of the work week.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-2)   55-60 (+7)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (+4)   95-100 (+9)  73-78
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G18     SE  7 G18    S  9 G25
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90
Precip duration                    1            8
Precip begin                       2 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         1.33
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3500                      700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      SE 18
Dispersion            36 Fair                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     SE 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G18     SE  9 G18    S 11 G25

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the mid to upper 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-4)   54-59 (+5)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (+11)  95-100 (+6)  74-79
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G19                 SE 11 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G22    SE  8 G23    S 10 G29
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            40           100
Precip duration                    1            8
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         1.96
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      SE 20
Dispersion            34 Fair                   1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G19                 SE 14 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 12 G22    SE 11 G23    S 13 G29

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-230830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-2)   56-61 (+5)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (+7)   95-100 (+8)  65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G21                  SE 11 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G23     SE 10 G30    SW  9 G29
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            50           90
Precip duration                    1            8
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.23         2.15
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      S 17
Dispersion            36 Fair                   3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  SE 14 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G23     SE 13 G30    SW 11 G29

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-230830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-4)   58-63 (+11)  64-69
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+16)  95-100 (+4)  68-73
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G26                 S  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G25    SE 10 G27    SW  6 G18
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            60           90
Precip duration                    2            5
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.29         2.33
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4100                      300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 22                     S 13
Dispersion            76 Good                   2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 10 G26                 S 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 14 G25    SE 13 G27    SW  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 30s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-230830-
Nantahala National Forest-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   57-62 (+17)  63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+21)  95-100 (+3)  73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G22                 SE  9 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G23    SE  9 G23    SW  6 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         2.46
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      2300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   4300                      100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     S 13
DISPERSION            69 Good                   0 Very poor
MAX LVORI             4                         10
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 SE 11 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G23    SE 11 G23    SW  7 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230830-
East Tennessee District East-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-1)   57-62 (+8)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (+7)   95-100 (+5)  73-78
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G19    SE  6 G15    S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90
Precip duration                    1            8
Precip begin                       2 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         1.45
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      SE 14
Dispersion            33 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     SE 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G19    SE  7 G15    S 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230830-
East Tennessee District West-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (0)    58-63 (+11)  63-68
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (+6)   95-100 (+9)  72-77
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5 G19                 SE  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     SE  5 G16    SW  5
Precip type           NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            60           90
Precip duration                    1            5
Precip begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.25         1.53
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3900                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      S 12
Dispersion            56 Gen good               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G19                 SE  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G21     SE  7 G16    SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s to
lower 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-230830-
Cumberland District South-
328 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017 /228 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-2)   60-65 (+12)  64-69
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+14)  95-100 (+10) 69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G25                 S  8 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G27    SE  8 G22    SW  6
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            80           90
Precip duration                    3            5
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.81         1.39
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4700                      1200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      S 12
Dispersion            95 Good                   12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G25                 S  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 14 G27    SE 10 G22    SW  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s to
lower 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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