Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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494
FNUS54 KMRX 191937
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An area of high pressure will be in control of our weather into the
first part of the work week, keeping us mainly rain free through Monday.
The only chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm during this period
is over the higher terrain on Monday. Precipitation chances will
increase by mid week as the next cold front moves in.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-1)   84-89 (+3)   63-68        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  36-41 (-12)  95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7700                      8100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  5                     SW  7
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   38 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    82-87 (+4)   61-66        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (0)    41-46 (-7)   93-98        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8600                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  3                     SW  5
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-202045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+2)   81-86 (+3)   62-67        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (0)    41-46 (-5)   88-93        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8100                      8100
Transport wnd (mph)                W  2                      SW  3
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-202045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+1)   86-91 (+3)   63-68        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (-7)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      8100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  2                     S  5
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 90s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-202045-
Nantahala National Forest-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   85-90 (+3)   61-66        83-88
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  39-44 (-7)   95-100       53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     S  5
DISPERSION                         19 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202045-
East Tennessee District East-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    87-92 (+4)   63-68        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  36-41 (-8)   95-100       46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      7200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  2                     SW  5
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202045-
East Tennessee District West-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+2)   86-91 (+2)   65-70        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (-7)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      7300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  1                     SW  6
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
Light winds.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-202045-
Cumberland District South-
337 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017 /237 PM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+1)   87-92 (+2)   66-71        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  40-45 (-5)   95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      7300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  1                     SW  5
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TD



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