Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 221950
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Warm, humid air will keep its hold on the Tennessee
Valley for the remainder of the week. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will be possible this evening, with the best chances
over the Cumberland Plateau. Rain chances on Friday look to be
minimal, but showers and isolated thunderstorms will return over the
weekend.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (0)    70-75 (-4)   51-56        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+2)   53-58 (+5)   89-94        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G21                  SW  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G23    SW  6 G16    SW 10 G22
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           40
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.15         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4300                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 26
Dispersion                         75 Good                   69 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G21                  SW 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23    SW  8 G16    SW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower to
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (-1)   68-73 (-7)   50-55        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (+10)  92-97        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G15                  SW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17    S  6 G15     SW 11 G25
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           30
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.11         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3900                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 23
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G15                  SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SW  9 G17    S  8         SW 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-232100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (-2)   66-71 (-7)   50-55        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+11)  51-56 (+5)   92-97        60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G20                  S 10 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G18     SW  8 G21    S  7 G17     S 13 G31
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           40
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            10 PM                     Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.19         0.09
LAL                   2            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6800                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3800                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 26
Dispersion                         54 Gen good               43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G20                  S 13 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G18     SW 10 G21    S  9 G17     S 16 G31

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-232100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-2)   69-74 (-8)   53-58        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+9)   53-58 (+6)   89-94        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G19                  S  9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G17     S  8 G19     S  6 G15     S 11 G26
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           40
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            10 PM                     Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.24         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6500                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4400                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      S 25
Dispersion                         67 Good                   64 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G19                  S 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G17     S 10 G19     S  8 G15     S 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-232100-
Nantahala National Forest-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   67-72 (-7)   53-58        66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   56-61 (+4)   86-91        58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6 G15     S  6         S 11 G24
PRECIP TYPE           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            7 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.17         0.05
LAL                   2            2            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                4400                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 23
DISPERSION                         57 Gen good               58 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  9         S  7         S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-
East Tennessee District East-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (-1)   73-78 (-4)   53-58        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+6)   51-56 (+7)   90-95        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G20    S  5         SW 10 G23
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           30
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.15         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4400                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 25
Dispersion                         58 Gen good               76 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G15                  S  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20    S  6         SW 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-
East Tennessee District West-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+1)   72-77 (-3)   54-59        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+7)   52-57 (0)    91-96        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G21                 S  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G22    S  5         S 11 G25
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           40
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.25         0.14
LAL                   2            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4700                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     SW 28
Dispersion                         92 Good                   82 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G21                 S  9 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SW 11 G22    S  7         S 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-232100-
Cumberland District South-
250 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018 /150 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-1)   72-77 (-3)   55-60        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+1)   54-59 (-1)   90-95        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G18                  S  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         S  7 G19     S  5         S 11 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30           40
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.42         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5100                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 21                     SW 28
Dispersion                         92 Good                   88 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G18                  S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         S 10 G19     S  6         S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs near
60. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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