Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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614
FNUS54 KMRX 211923
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures and high humidity will continue
across the Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians into the
weekend. The possibilty of precipitation will increase this
weekend...with the best chances on Sunday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+4)   86-91 (+1)   67-72        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-2)   95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  8 G18    W  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            8 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.08         0.14         0.42
LAL                   2            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W 14
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               37 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     SW 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        SW 10 G18    W 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+4)   84-89 (+1)   66-71        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-2)   45-50 (-5)   93-98        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  8 G23     W  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.16         0.19         0.29
LAL                   2            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 14
Dispersion                         30 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      W 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W 10 G23     W 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-222030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+4)   82-87 (-2)   66-71        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   45-50 (+3)   90-95        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  8 G22    W  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           30           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.21         0.09         0.40
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      W 15
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     W 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW 11 G22    W 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-222030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+4)   87-92 (-1)   68-73        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   46-51 (0)    95-100       60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5        SW  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           30           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.11         0.04         0.38
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 12
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW  7        SW 10

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph early
in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-222030-
Nantahala National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   86-91 (-1)   67-72        81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   46-51 (-1)   95-100       63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            11 PM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.05         0.37
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 10
DISPERSION                         27 Fair                   30 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW  5        SW  8

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222030-
East Tennessee District East-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+2)   89-94 (0)    69-74        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (+1)   93-98        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW  7 G15    SW  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.12         0.32
LAL                   2            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W 13
Dispersion                         45 Gen good               44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        SW  9        SW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222030-
East Tennessee District West-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   89-94 (0)    70-75        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-1)   90-95        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  7 G16    SW  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           50
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.30
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     W 14
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               50 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  9 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  9 G16    SW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-222030-
Cumberland District South-
323 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017 /223 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+3)   89-94 (0)    70-75        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   44-49 (0)    91-96        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6 G16    SW  9 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.01         0.28
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 13
Dispersion                         35 Fair                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  8 G16    SW 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$



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